Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

$147K Vol
Jul 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
BetBoom Team 68.5%
Nigma Galaxy 31.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Any Player Ultra Kill is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,100% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 5,400%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 5,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $147K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Any Player Ultra Kill (6,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Any Player Ultra Kill is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (5,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? maintains a 5,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,400¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,300%): Sitting in third place with a 5,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (5,300%), Ends in Daytime (5,100%), and Any Player Rampage (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ends in Daytime are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Any Player Ultra Kill6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5400.0%$125400¢-5300¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5300.0%$125300¢-5200¢
5Ends in Daytime5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
6Any Player Rampage5050.0%$7.6K5050¢-4950¢
7Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10First Blood in Game 1?4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
11First Blood in Game 2?4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
12O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%$7434750¢-4650¢
13Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)4050.0%$8.3K4050¢-3950¢
14Game 1 Winner3450.0%$8.1K3450¢-3350¢
15Game 2 Winner3450.0%$3.5K3450¢-3350¢
16Both Teams Beat Roshan3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan3250.0%3250¢-3150¢
18Match Winner3150.0%$111.0K3150¢-3050¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
20Any Player Ultra Kill3000.0%3000¢-2900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Barracks2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
22Both Teams Destroy Barracks2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
23Any Player Rampage650.0%$7.6K650¢-550¢
24Any Player Rampage650.0%$7.6K650¢-550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and BetBoom Team in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against BetBoom Team.

This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against Nigma Galaxy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DJ1
Djdjdjekekek
Event PnL
-$1,298.78
Volume
$64,747.97
Positions
Nigma Galaxy
2C2
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$1,298.36
Volume
$56,208.30
Positions
BetBoom Team
DH3
dhwhqxba
Event PnL
+$76.07
Volume
$15,214.00
Positions
YesYes
E14
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$56.29
Volume
$9,197.78
Positions
BetBoom TeamBetBoom TeamBetBoom Team
ON5
oneheadedtiger
Event PnL
-$12.34
Volume
$8,042.88
Positions
BetBoom TeamBetBoom TeamBetBoom Team
DE6
dex57
Event PnL
-$37.52
Volume
$4,436.55
Positions
Nigma Galaxy
VI7
videlake
Event PnL
-$118.92
Volume
$3,943.37
Positions
Nigma Galaxy
LM8
lmtscapt
Event PnL
-$8.93
Volume
$3,750.29
Positions
Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Any Player Ultra Kill leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,100% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? at 5,400% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 5,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $147K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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