
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $480.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $220.7K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (9,950%), Both Teams Destroy Barracks (9,950%), and First Blood in Game 2? (9,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $220.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $41.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) | 9995.0% | $418 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 6 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Rampage | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Rampage | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 21 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 22 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 23 | O/U 2.5 Games | 5.0% | $714 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 26 | Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | 5.0% | $231 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 2 match between MOUZ and Yellow Submarine in the BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Yellow Submarine.
This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 29, 2026
- 09:11 AM0X0xdc0acc48b06e9b57eb7c9df145ec268f6b56d774$2.00
Bought 3.333332 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.6
- 09:11 AM0X0xdc0acc48b06e9b57eb7c9df145ec268f6b56d774$1.00
Bought 1.666665 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.6
- 09:00 AMFEfe28s5ak$3.00
Bought 6 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5
- 08:57 AMJZjzr09$5.00
Bought 8.333332 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.6
- 08:25 AMNEneutralwave23$37.50
Bought 63.5515 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.59
- 08:17 AM——$4.83
Bought 9.65 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5
- 08:14 AM——$4.83
Bought 9.65 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5
- 08:09 AM——$4.83
Bought 9.66 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5
- 07:58 AMODOddstorm$0.99
Bought 1.44 MOUZ for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) at 0.69
- 07:47 AMEVevgenius$35.00
Bought 59.322031 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.59
- 07:11 AMICiceblue-$58.12
Sold 100.2 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.58
- 07:08 AMRARashidrush$30.78
Bought 96.1875 Yellow Submarine for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) at 0.32
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $480.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
