Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs

$76.4K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
BoomBoys 58.5%
Iron Wing 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,350% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 5,300%, while Ends in Daytime sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $76.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (5,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $21 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (5,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? maintains a 5,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,300¢.
  • Ends in Daytime (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ends in Daytime, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,150%), Ends in Daytime (5,150%), and First Blood in Game 2? (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 2.5 Games are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5350.0%$215350¢-5250¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5300.0%$215300¢-5200¢
3Ends in Daytime5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
4Ends in Daytime5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5Ends in Daytime5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
6First Blood in Game 2?5050.0%$215050¢-4950¢
7O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$3.5K4950¢-4850¢
8First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%$214950¢-4850¢
9Game 1 Winner4550.0%$38.2K4550¢-4450¢
10Game 2 Winner4550.0%$16.3K4550¢-4450¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan4500.0%$64500¢-4400¢
12Match Winner4150.0%$2.7M4150¢-4050¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan3700.0%$63700¢-3600¢
14Both Teams Beat Roshan3650.0%$63650¢-3550¢
15Both Teams Destroy Barracks3550.0%3550¢-3450¢
16Any Player Ultra Kill3550.0%$83550¢-3450¢
17Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)2950.0%$16.6K2950¢-2850¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill2700.0%$82700¢-2600¢
20Both Teams Destroy Barracks2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
21Any Player Ultra Kill2650.0%$82650¢-2550¢
22Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)2350.0%$42350¢-2250¢
23Any Player Rampage2000.0%2000¢-1900¢
24Any Player Rampage1400.0%1400¢-1300¢
25Any Player Rampage1400.0%1400¢-1300¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Iron Wing and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win the match against BoomBoys.

This market will resolve to "BoomBoys" if BoomBoys win the match against Iron Wing.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DJ1
Djdjdjekekek
Event PnL
+$2,075.99
Volume
$1,815,318.99
Positions
BoomBoys
2C2
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$3,463.83
Volume
$291,593.00
Positions
Iron Wing
SE3
SemyonMarmeladov
Event PnL
-$1,724.90
Volume
$234,999.97
Positions
Iron Wing
LA4
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
-$123.36
Volume
$161,461.65
Positions
Iron WingIron WingIron Wing+2
AN5
Anjun
Event PnL
-$111.07
Volume
$155,555.00
Positions
Iron Wing
ZB6
zb8
Event PnL
+$377.22
Volume
$122,232.99
Positions
Iron WingBoomBoysBoomBoys
NO7
Nooserac
Event PnL
+$722.51
Volume
$117,500.03
Positions
Iron Wing
FR8
fRibrenlc
Event PnL
-$832.61
Volume
$100,024.94
Positions
Iron Wing

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,350% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? at 5,300% and Ends in Daytime at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $76.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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