Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

$489.7K Vol
Aug 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Falcons 100.0%
Team Liquid 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $489.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $358.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Match Winner (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) (9,995%), Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,950%), and Ends in Daytime (9,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like First Blood in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$358.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$643.4K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$126.4K9995¢-9895¢
4Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)9995.0%$2.8K9995¢-9895¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9950.0%$29950¢-9850¢
6Ends in Daytime9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
7First Blood in Game 1?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
8First Blood in Game 2?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
9Ends in Daytime9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
11First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?5000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
13Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Rampage5000.0%$215000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
20Any Player Rampage1000.0%$211000¢-900¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
26Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%$150¢50¢
27Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%50¢50¢
28Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
29Any Player Rampage50.0%$2150¢50¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50.0%50¢50¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?50.0%50¢50¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50.0%50¢50¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?40.0%$3840¢60¢
34Both Teams Beat Roshan25.0%$125¢75¢
35O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$28195¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Liquid.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Falcons.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E11
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$68,655.56
Volume
$184,273.24
Positions
Team FalconsTeam Falcons
ES2
esportGG
Event PnL
+$16,635.00
Volume
$47,882.56
Positions
Team FalconsTeam Falcons
CA3
canoflanagan
Event PnL
-$15,573.14
Volume
$46,320.60
Positions
Team LiquidTeam Liquid
BV4
bvrs
Event PnL
-$13,945.32
Volume
$44,862.75
Positions
Team LiquidTeam Liquid
DO5
Dota2winner
Event PnL
-$11,881.33
Volume
$34,999.96
Positions
Team Liquid
ZV6
zvon3
Event PnL
+$17.29
Volume
$33,964.25
Positions
Team Falcons
RE7
Revenge.Trader
Event PnL
+$16.38
Volume
$32,752.25
Positions
Team Falcons
GR8
GreenBerry1337
Event PnL
-$12,024.26
Volume
$30,106.50
Positions
Team Liquid

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $489.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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