Viborg FF vs. FC København

$91.2K Vol
Aug 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 100.0%
Yes 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Viborg FF vs. FC København”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, FC København is dominating the market with an overwhelming 42.5% chance of winning. Viborg FF follows in second place at 33%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $91.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • FC København (42.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, FC København is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 43¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $46.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Viborg FF (33%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Viborg FF maintains a 33% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 33¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1FC København42.5%$46.0K43¢58¢
2Viborg FF33.0%$35.4K33¢67¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Denmark Superliga game, scheduled for Sunday, August 23, 2026 between Viborg FF and FC København.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome FC København currently trades at 42.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 35.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -6.9%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Viborg FF as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 33% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 34.2% — yielding an impressive +1.2% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
FC København42.5%35.6%-6.9%
Viborg FFBest EV33.0%34.2%+1.2%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 23, 2026

  • 08:03 AM
    GOgotthebeer
    $5.00

    Bought 11.90476 Yes for Will FC København win on 2026-08-23? at 0.42

  • 07:29 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 No for Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23? at 0.68

  • 05:55 AM
    PRPrediktian69
    $21.00

    Bought 50 Yes for Will FC København win on 2026-08-23? at 0.42

  • 05:53 AM
    PRPrediktian69
    $63.00

    Bought 150 Yes for Will FC København win on 2026-08-23? at 0.42

  • 03:50 AM
    CAcarlosdomingos
    $1.00

    Bought 3.030302 Yes for Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23? at 0.33

  • 12:19 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.25

    Bought 5 Yes for Will Viborg FF vs. FC København end in a draw? at 0.25

Aug 22, 2026

  • 08:31 PM
    1M1MillionInc
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 No for Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23? at 0.68

  • 08:31 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $3.35

    Bought 5 No for Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23? at 0.67

  • 08:31 PM
    PUpups10
    $0.24

    Bought 0.36 No for Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23? at 0.67

Aug 19, 2026

  • 11:38 PM
    MOmonter.86
    $20.00

    Bought 45.454544 Yes for Will FC København win on 2026-08-23? at 0.44

Aug 17, 2026

  • 07:35 AM
    0X0x19557b587304c1e3cc9380F55A59cc72806be6e8-1767866905523
    $2.50

    Bought 7.142856 Yes for Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23? at 0.35

  • 12:34 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 5.882351 Yes for Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23? at 0.34

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CR1
crisp1973
Event PnL
+$15,327.29
Volume
$26,671.41
Positions
YesNo
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$297.47
Volume
$17,205.46
Positions
NoNoYes
SN3
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$348.20
Volume
$13,475.47
Positions
NoNoYes
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$763.48
Volume
$11,675.42
Positions
NoNoYes
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
-$4,717.97
Volume
$11,543.89
Positions
NoYesYes
WA6
WarewaPain
Event PnL
-$85.15
Volume
$7,821.27
Positions
YesYes
MA7
Maximus1391
Event PnL
-$667.31
Volume
$6,899.97
Positions
Yes
NT8
ntea
Event PnL
-$72.46
Volume
$4,999.99
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Viborg FF vs. FC København"?

As of the latest update, FC København leads the field as the frontrunner with a 42.5% win probability, followed by Viborg FF at 33%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $91.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Viborg FF as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 33% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 34.2% — an Expected Value gap of +1.2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around FC København. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 42.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 35.6%, a negative EV Gap of -6.9% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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