Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

$2.2M Vol
Aug 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Vitality 76.5%
100 Thieves 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 6,300%, while Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 sits in third with 5,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $2.2M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.1M in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (6,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 6,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,300¢.
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (5,950%): Sitting in third place with a 5,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) (4,700%), and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5) (2,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7350.0%$3.1M7350¢-7250¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.56300.0%$1.1K6300¢-6200¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55950.0%$695950¢-5850¢
4Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)4700.0%$9.9K4700¢-4600¢
5Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)2050.0%$2.8K2050¢-1950¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Vitality and 100 Thieves in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 12 at 11:40AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against 100 Thieves.

This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Vitality.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 12, 2026

  • 08:07 AM
    ESespressodoppio
    $20.00

    Bought 86.95652 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.23

  • 08:06 AM
    TAtajar
    $15.00

    Bought 65.21739 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.23

  • 07:53 AM
    YUyushon
    $1.00

    Bought 4.347825 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.23

  • 07:47 AM
    VOVoller1
    $1.00

    Bought 4.347825 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.23

  • 07:20 AM
    0X0xC94262c016f7BD40610A20BB5EA8b8d442694762-1786077550956
    $9.89

    Bought 12.679486 Vitality for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.78

  • 07:19 AM
    SEserebass
    $98.90

    Bought 430 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.23

  • 06:50 AM
    LAlaobiao2
    $3.83

    Sold 4.97 Vitality for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.77

  • 06:43 AM
    LAlaobiao2
    $3.88

    Bought 4.974354 Vitality for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.78

  • 06:22 AM
    GEgenius1892
    $2.00

    Bought 8.695651 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.23

  • 06:14 AM
    0X0xa584b64E36d9765F32DCab667c74bEa3C6A289D3-1773888477894
    $1.00

    Bought 4.347825 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.23

  • 06:01 AM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.07

    Bought 1.37179 Vitality for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.78

  • 06:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $3.90

    Bought 5 Vitality for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.78

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DJ1
Djdjdjekekek
Event PnL
+$19,766.91
Volume
$1,416,373.02
Positions
100 Thieves
2C2
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$8,039.19
Volume
$755,969.12
Positions
Vitality
LA3
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
+$87.52
Volume
$172,975.92
Positions
Vitality
094
0x0954…3509
Event PnL
+$6,340.91
Volume
$162,496.76
Positions
100 Thieves
BA5
basementdweller3000
Event PnL
-$1,000.00
Volume
$100,000.00
Positions
Vitality
NE6
NemecGhudini
Event PnL
-$572.38
Volume
$64,896.00
Positions
Vitality
FU7
Fund01
Event PnL
+$1.00
Volume
$59,088.36
Positions
Vitality
A98
0xA9C4…8203
Event PnL
-$1,413.42
Volume
$47,476.01
Positions
Vitality

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 6,300% and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 at 5,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $2.2M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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