Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

$150.9K Vol
Jul 29, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
SPARTA 50.5%
G2 Ares 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5) follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) sits in third with 9,960%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $150.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5) (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5) maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) (9,960%): Sitting in third place with a 9,960% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 2.5 Games (9,955%), Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) (9,955%), and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (7,500%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Winner9995.0%$3.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5)9995.0%$159995¢-9895¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)9960.0%$719960¢-9860¢
4O/U 2.5 Games9955.0%$2.3K9955¢-9855¢
5Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)9955.0%$719955¢-9855¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
7Match Winner5550.0%$115.7K5550¢-5450¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55050.0%$7825050¢-4950¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Map 2 Winner4950.0%$29.0K4950¢-4850¢
13Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5950.0%950¢-850¢
16Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-12.5) vs G2 Ares (+12.5)550.0%550¢-450¢
17Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)155.0%155¢-55¢
18Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)5.0%$63595¢
19Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55.0%$5095¢
20Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55.0%$1595¢
21Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55.0%$1595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between SPARTA and G2 Ares in the CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 28 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "SPARTA" if SPARTA win the match against G2 Ares.

This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against SPARTA.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 28, 2026

  • 08:05 AM
    CSCS-LOL-GOD
    $13.57

    Bought 23 SPARTA for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.59

  • 08:05 AM
    D7D7EAd77638f816DdE8A50eb38F
    $2.10

    Bought 5 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.42

  • 08:03 AM
    CSCS-LOL-GOD
    $13.57

    Bought 23 SPARTA for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.59

  • 08:03 AM
    0X0x9fABCe6Ca7C8E76197c0c5d79786391369A69A70-1782973466865
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 SPARTA for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.59

  • 08:02 AM
    CSCS-LOL-GOD
    $13.57

    Bought 23 SPARTA for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.59

  • 08:01 AM
    CSCS-LOL-GOD
    $13.57

    Bought 23 SPARTA for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.59

  • 08:01 AM
    DEdengzhipeng
    $2.00

    Bought 4.761903 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.42

  • 08:01 AM
    CSCS-LOL-GOD
    $13.57

    Bought 23 SPARTA for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.59

  • 08:01 AM
    D7D7EAd77638f816DdE8A50eb38F
    $2.10

    Bought 5 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.42

  • 08:00 AM
    CSCS-LOL-GOD
    $13.57

    Bought 23 SPARTA for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.59

  • 08:00 AM
    0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994
    $13.61

    Bought 23.067795 SPARTA for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.59

  • 08:00 AM
    0X0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7
    $985.79

    Bought 2347.12 G2 Ares for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage at 0.42

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SK1
skyman44
Event PnL
+$106.08
Volume
$24,899.94
Positions
SPARTA
292
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
-$58.18
Volume
$21,209.11
Positions
G2 Ares
ZE3
Zenhack
Event PnL
+$1,100.37
Volume
$7,012.73
Positions
SPARTA
BE4
BeraEnjoyer
Event PnL
-$1,295.00
Volume
$7,000.00
Positions
G2 Ares
D45
0xD4fE…3131
Event PnL
+$121.27
Volume
$6,999.95
Positions
SPARTA
QU6
quavoo
Event PnL
-$1,033.88
Volume
$6,646.27
Positions
G2 Ares
VI7
vibing123
Event PnL
+$0.55
Volume
$4,499.97
Positions
SPARTA
AT8
AtlanticTrading
Event PnL
+$502.20
Volume
$2,714.59
Positions
SPARTA

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5) at 9,995% and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) at 9,960%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $150.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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