Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

$53.9K Vol
Aug 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Black Phoenix 100.0%
ex-RUBY 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 9,000%, while Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5) sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $53.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5) (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-9.5) vs ex-RUBY (+9.5) (5,000%), Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (5,000%), and Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5) (1,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
2Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-9.5) vs ex-RUBY (+9.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs Black Phoenix (+6.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
9Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-6.5) vs ex-RUBY (+6.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Match Winner5.0%$36.3K95¢
11Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)5.0%$6195¢
12Map Handicap: Black Phoenix (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)5.0%$595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between ex-RUBY and Black Phoenix in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "ex-RUBY" if ex-RUBY win the match against Black Phoenix.

This market will resolve to "Black Phoenix" if Black Phoenix win the match against ex-RUBY.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 25, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 25, 2026

  • 09:34 AM
    SHshrd725
    $9.00

    Bought 50 Black Phoenix for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner at 0.18

  • 09:33 AM
    IVivanovix91
    $107.59

    Bought 115.6842 ex-RUBY for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.93

  • 09:32 AM
    JIJimmyman132
    $8.10

    Bought 30 Black Phoenix for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner at 0.27

  • 09:30 AM
    $11.51

    Bought 14.3875 ex-RUBY for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner at 0.8

  • 09:30 AM
    AAaaaa298
    $380.49

    Bought 475.61 ex-RUBY for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner at 0.8

  • 09:30 AM
    HAhampan
    $2.00

    Bought 10 Black Phoenix for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner at 0.2

  • 09:29 AM
    AAaaaa298
    $27.58

    Bought 30.31 ex-RUBY for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.91

  • 09:28 AM
    SHshrd725
    $1.70

    Sold 10 Black Phoenix for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner at 0.17

  • 09:28 AM
    AAaaaa298
    $171.00

    Bought 190 ex-RUBY for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.9

  • 09:28 AM
    LOlomatic
    $1.12

    Bought 8 Black Phoenix for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.14

  • 09:28 AM
    $1.40

    Bought 10 Black Phoenix for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.14

  • 09:27 AM
    AAaaaa298
    $9.29

    Bought 10.56 ex-RUBY for Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.88

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LM1
lma0o0o0o
Event PnL
-$125.00
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
ex-RUBY
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$160.12
Volume
$2,112.00
Positions
Black Phoenix
AA3
aaaa298
Event PnL
-$2,043.84
Volume
$2,107.73
Positions
ex-RUBYex-RUBY
OW4
owlgorithm-beta
Event PnL
+$0.89
Volume
$1,776.79
Positions
Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix
DB5
0xdbdd…1846
Event PnL
+$165.04
Volume
$1,506.56
Positions
Black PhoenixBlack PhoenixBlack Phoenix
LO6
loserrrrrrrrrrrr
Event PnL
+$19.32
Volume
$1,190.12
Positions
ex-RUBY
JI7
Jimmyman132
Event PnL
+$630.71
Volume
$1,178.95
Positions
Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix
RA8
Rayaya
Event PnL
-$757.12
Volume
$1,170.97
Positions
ex-RUBY

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 9,000% and Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5) at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $53.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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