Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

$135.8K Vol
Jul 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
TDK 53.5%
Nemiga 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 9,005%, while Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5) sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $135.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,005%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 9,005% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,005¢.
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5) (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%), Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (1,000%), and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-6.5) vs TDK (+6.5) (1,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)9995.0%$5.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59005.0%9005¢-8905¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%$1061000¢-900¢
6Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-6.5) vs TDK (+6.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-3.5) vs TDK (+3.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
9Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-6.5) vs TDK (+6.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-6.5) vs Nemiga (+6.5)85.0%$10285¢15¢
12Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-3.5) vs TDK (+3.5)45.0%$10045¢55¢
13Map 1 Winner5.0%$42.9K95¢
14Map 2 Winner5.0%$53.9K95¢
15Match Winner5.0%$134.6K95¢
16O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$13.0K95¢
17Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)5.0%$2.1K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Nemiga and TDK in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against TDK.

This market will resolve to "TDK" if TDK win the match against Nemiga.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 29, 2026

  • 08:29 AM
    BUBubliik
    $1.97

    Bought 4.282607 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:29 AM
    YUyuityut6756
    $2.76

    Bought 6 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:29 AM
    D7D7EAd77638f816DdE8A50eb38F
    $2.30

    Bought 5 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:29 AM
    HEheadach3
    $37.95

    Bought 69 TDK for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.55

  • 08:29 AM
    0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994
    $11.71

    Bought 21.290908 TDK for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.55

  • 08:29 AM
    0X0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7
    $998.12

    Bought 2169.82 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:28 AM
    $4.60

    Bought 10 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0x59eB00x59eB0
    $17.04

    Bought 37.043477 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994
    $3.52

    Bought 6.4 TDK for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.55

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0x62791013f304400ffD99c1F31E423dB9b5e62627-1781693296363
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 TDK for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.55

  • 08:28 AM
    COConsistent-Loser
    $300.00

    Bought 652.173912 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0xblueberry
    $28.75

    Bought 62.49 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

291
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
-$78.58
Volume
$38,568.25
Positions
NemigaTDKNemiga
ZV2
zvon3
Event PnL
+$15.30
Volume
$30,551.99
Positions
TDK
SK3
skyman44
Event PnL
+$134.92
Volume
$29,999.98
Positions
TDK
RN4
RN1
Event PnL
-$7,796.79
Volume
$24,340.15
Positions
TDKNemigaOver+3
SE5
sentrio
Event PnL
+$104.16
Volume
$10,559.18
Positions
NemigaTDKNemiga+1
BE6
BeraEnjoyer
Event PnL
-$4,105.00
Volume
$10,317.27
Positions
NemigaNemiga
DO7
Donkoo
Event PnL
-$321.82
Volume
$9,009.31
Positions
TDKNemigaUnder+3
AB8
Absing
Event PnL
+$1,907.52
Volume
$8,121.66
Positions
UnderTDKTDK+3

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 9,005% and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5) at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $135.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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