Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

$99.8K Vol
Aug 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Metizport 100.0%
SPARTA 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5) sits in third with 9,005%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $99.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $72.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5) (9,005%): Sitting in third place with a 9,005% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (9,005%), Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs Metizport (+6.5) (9,005%), and Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5) (9,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner9995.0%$72.9K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5)9005.0%9005¢-8905¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.59005.0%9005¢-8905¢
5Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs Metizport (+6.5)9005.0%9005¢-8905¢
6Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
8Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs Metizport (+6.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
9Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5995.0%995¢-895¢
11Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5)995.0%995¢-895¢
12Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs Metizport (+9.5)995.0%995¢-895¢
13Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5995.0%995¢-895¢
14Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)990.0%990¢-890¢
15Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550.0%$75550¢50¢
16Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550.0%$5950¢50¢
17Map 2 Winner5.0%$22.7K95¢
18Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)5.0%95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Metizport and SPARTA in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Metizport" if Metizport win the match against SPARTA.

This market will resolve to "SPARTA" if SPARTA win the match against Metizport.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PA1
papuas
Event PnL
-$8,356.96
Volume
$15,845.40
Positions
SPARTAMetizport
VI2
vibing123
Event PnL
+$1,151.96
Volume
$13,491.64
Positions
SPARTASPARTA
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$4,327.60
Volume
$10,501.57
Positions
MetizportSPARTA
FF4
0xff34…694b
Event PnL
-$1,087.21
Volume
$6,323.18
Positions
MetizportMetizport
LI5
littlelonely777
Event PnL
+$2.11
Volume
$4,222.80
Positions
Metizport
BO6
bonus300
Event PnL
-$487.31
Volume
$2,695.53
Positions
SPARTA
IG7
igot50k
Event PnL
-$462.19
Volume
$2,578.57
Positions
MetizportMetizport
BO8
bosstariro
Event PnL
-$560.13
Volume
$2,560.02
Positions
MetizportMetizport

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5) at 9,005%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $99.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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