
Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Match Winner sits in third with 4,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $8.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
- Match Winner (4,750%): Sitting in third place with a 4,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Match Winner | 4750.0% | $8.6K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between magic and TheMongolz in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against TheMongolz.
This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against magic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 10, 2026
- 08:05 AMONOniec$1.00
Bought 1.886791 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.53
- 08:00 AMCOcow1$2.40
Bought 5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.48
- 08:00 AMGAgarireo756$117.66
Bought 222 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.53
- 07:09 AM——$0.10
Bought 0.21 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.47
- 06:47 AMBLblub69$9.08
Bought 16.814813 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.54
- 06:01 AM0X0x4857Fc6a088f10cFD438939260b2Ffa75164600e-1773454912156$14.00
Bought 29.787233 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.47
- 04:14 AMKJkjss$3.00
Bought 5.35714 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.56
- 03:00 AM——$3.45
Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46
- 02:45 AM——$3.45
Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46
- 02:30 AM——$3.45
Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46
- 02:00 AM——$3.45
Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46
- 01:45 AM——$3.45
Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D"?
As of the latest update, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 5,000% and Match Winner at 4,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $8.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
