Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

$64.2K Vol
Aug 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Luminosity 52.5%
GamerLegion 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,250% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 5,050%, while Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5) sits in third with 3,600%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $64.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (5,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $64.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5) (3,600%): Sitting in third place with a 3,600% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner5250.0%$64.1K5250¢-5150¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)3600.0%$2633600¢-3500¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Luminosity and GamerLegion in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 12 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against GamerLegion.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Luminosity.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 11, 2026

  • 07:01 AM
    FLFlightMind
    $16.20

    Bought 30 Luminosity for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.54

  • 07:01 AM
    $1.07

    Bought 2.276594 GamerLegion for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.47

  • 06:36 AM
    0X0x25ddb14015D80cD38444B642B4b7dd86EeB40034-1784869345276
    $1.41

    Bought 3 GamerLegion for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.47

  • 06:36 AM
    VAValeriefgbn
    $37.80

    Bought 70 Luminosity for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.54

  • 06:36 AM
    $1.57

    Bought 3.340424 GamerLegion for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.47

  • 06:36 AM
    LULucyergt
    $15.04

    Bought 32 GamerLegion for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.47

  • 06:36 AM
    BRBrightdfb
    $17.86

    Bought 38 GamerLegion for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.47

  • 06:34 AM
    EPEpyat
    $10.00

    Bought 21.276594 GamerLegion for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.47

  • 06:09 AM
    $1.07

    Bought 2.276594 GamerLegion for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.47

  • 06:09 AM
    CHChoppershah
    $5.00

    Bought 9.259258 Luminosity for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.54

  • 06:09 AM
    $1.07

    Bought 2.276594 GamerLegion for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.47

  • 06:09 AM
    $1.07

    Bought 2.276594 GamerLegion for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.47

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SK1
skyman44
Event PnL
+$54.35
Volume
$9,183.39
Positions
Luminosity
LM2
lma0o0o0o
Event PnL
+$4.55
Volume
$3,688.08
Positions
GamerLegion
MU3
muflata
Event PnL
-$14.76
Volume
$2,953.47
Positions
GamerLegion
IT4
itsallupnow
Event PnL
-$38.16
Volume
$2,544.00
Positions
GamerLegion
PS5
PS003
Event PnL
-$11.11
Volume
$2,222.22
Positions
Luminosity
FR6
frodh1b
Event PnL
-$5.32
Volume
$1,064.00
Positions
GamerLegion
BU7
buen0
Event PnL
-$3.00
Volume
$600.00
Positions
GamerLegion
F98
0xf917…4899
Event PnL
+$2.85
Volume
$545.58
Positions
GamerLegion

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,250% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 5,050% and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5) at 3,600%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $64.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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