
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,150% chance of winning. Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) follows in second place at 5,050%, while Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $97.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) (5,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $14 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%), Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,800%), and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) (4,600%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 2.5 Games are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) | 5150.0% | $14 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 2 | Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) | 5050.0% | $53.7K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 6 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) | 4600.0% | $9 | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 Games | 3950.0% | $566 | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 8 | Map 1 Winner | 3350.0% | $1.1K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 9 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 10 | Map 2 Winner | 2750.0% | $23 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 11 | Match Winner | 2250.0% | $42.0K | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Inner Circle Esports and MOUZ in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports" if Inner Circle Esports win the match against MOUZ.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Inner Circle Esports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 29, 2026
- 09:25 AM0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753$2.50
Bought 5.102039 MOUZ for Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.49
- 09:24 AM0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736$245.00
Bought 500 MOUZ for Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.49
- 09:23 AM0X0x32eef864b47CF9003706fa9Dbf9c0489801483B0-1766074314358$43.81
Bought 84.25 Inner Circle Esports for Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.52
- 09:22 AM0X0x32eef864b47CF9003706fa9Dbf9c0489801483B0-1766074314358$50.00
Bought 217.391303 Inner Circle Esports for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.23
- 09:20 AM——$47.89
Sold 62.19 MOUZ for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.77
- 09:20 AMFOFollower2$15.42
Bought 19.769227 MOUZ for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.78
- 09:20 AM——$1,814.57
Bought 2326.37179 MOUZ for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.78
- 09:20 AMSUsuspect1$6.00
Bought 26.086955 Inner Circle Esports for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.23
- 09:19 AMSUsuspect1$687.42
Bought 2988.782607 Inner Circle Esports for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.23
- 09:14 AMNEneutralwave23$4.69
Bought 6.012818 MOUZ for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.78
- 09:09 AMTZtzlzlzl$55.08
Bought 162 Inner Circle Esports for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner at 0.34
- 09:08 AM0X0x98A55c8c58C9B5884F84ad31F5cA7E590F5fDE1b-1780325895195$1.00
Bought 1.28205 MOUZ for Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.78
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B"?
As of the latest update, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,150% win probability, followed by Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 5,050% and Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $97.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
