Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

$60.3K Vol
Aug 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
BASEMENT BOYS 52.0%
INOX Division 48.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 9,000%, while Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $60.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $16.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 2.5 Games (6,850%), Match Winner (5,200%), and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Winner9995.0%$16.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4O/U 2.5 Games6850.0%6850¢-6750¢
5Match Winner5200.0%$52.7K5200¢-5100¢
6Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-3.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Map 3 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-3.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 2 Winner3150.0%$1.8K3150¢-3050¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-3.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+3.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
12Map 1 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-6.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+6.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
13Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)55.0%55¢45¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between BASEMENT BOYS and INOX Division in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BASEMENT BOYS" if BASEMENT BOYS win the match against INOX Division.

This market will resolve to "INOX Division" if INOX Division win the match against BASEMENT BOYS.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

291
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
+$461.11
Volume
$21,788.63
Positions
INOX DivisionINOX DivisionINOX Division
SE2
sentrio
Event PnL
+$175.12
Volume
$10,884.06
Positions
INOX Division
FB3
0xFBE8…8436
Event PnL
-$86.93
Volume
$3,393.78
Positions
BASEMENT BOYS
VC4
vcxvcxxcvcvxxcv
Event PnL
+$263.94
Volume
$3,205.41
Positions
INOX DivisionINOX Division
XY5
Xyen
Event PnL
-$183.03
Volume
$3,036.50
Positions
BASEMENT BOYS
ZO6
ZoeGarma
Event PnL
-$75.01
Volume
$3,000.39
Positions
BASEMENT BOYS
AL7
albedong430
Event PnL
+$188.75
Volume
$2,799.23
Positions
BASEMENT BOYSBASEMENT BOYSBASEMENT BOYS
XR8
xreborn
Event PnL
+$173.33
Volume
$2,769.22
Positions
INOX Division

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 9,000% and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $60.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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