Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali

$156.8K Vol
Aug 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 94.5%
Yes 5.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, América de Cali is dominating the market with an overwhelming 52.5% chance of winning. Draw (Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali) follows in second place at 28%, while Jaguares de Córdoba FC sits in third with 19.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $156.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • América de Cali (52.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, América de Cali is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 53¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $159.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Draw (Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali) (28%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali) maintains a 28% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 28¢.
  • Jaguares de Córdoba FC (19.5%): Sitting in third place with a 19.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Jaguares de Córdoba FC, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1América de Cali52.5%$159.9K53¢48¢
2Draw (Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali)28.0%$5.5K28¢72¢
3Jaguares de Córdoba FC19.5%$31.9K20¢81¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Saturday, August 29, 2026 between Jaguares de Córdoba FC and América de Cali.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Draw (Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali) as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 28% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 30% — yielding an impressive +2% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Jaguares de Córdoba FC (EV Gap: +1.1%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
América de Cali52.5%53.7%+1.2%
Draw (Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali)Best EV28.0%30.0%+2.0%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC19.5%20.6%+1.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 29, 2026

  • 08:10 PM
    AHahms
    $0.85

    Sold 1.85 No for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.46

  • 08:09 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.85185 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.54

  • 07:52 PM
    SNSnakeBall
    $16.20

    Bought 20 No for Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-08-29? at 0.81

  • 07:40 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $686.35

    Bought 1295 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.53

  • 07:40 PM
    0X0xF508e911F5901513055d483aBF83c65CBB4730a5-1783087578752
    $1.50

    Bought 3.191488 No for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.47

  • 07:40 PM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $9.81

    Bought 18.5 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.53

  • 07:38 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.65

    Bought 5 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.53

  • 07:38 PM
    NInigiri99
    $13.78

    Bought 26 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.53

  • 07:25 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.62

    Bought 8.1 Yes for Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-08-29? at 0.2

  • 07:24 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.65

    Bought 5 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.53

  • 07:24 PM
    NInigiri99
    $28.09

    Bought 53 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.53

  • 07:13 PM
    NInigiri99
    $13.78

    Bought 26 Yes for Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29? at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$3.32
Volume
$3,840.00
Positions
Yes
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$1.93
Volume
$2,808.64
Positions
No
KN3
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$7.45
Volume
$1,504.58
Positions
NoNoYes
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$6.35
Volume
$1,303.10
Positions
YesYes
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$3.22
Volume
$621.71
Positions
No
076
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$3.26
Volume
$474.00
Positions
Yes
EM7
emacron
Event PnL
-$0.19
Volume
$362.13
Positions
No
CA8
Cannae
Event PnL
-$0.38
Volume
$75.14
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali"?

As of the latest update, América de Cali leads the field as the frontrunner with a 52.5% win probability, followed by Draw (Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali) at 28% and Jaguares de Córdoba FC at 19.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $156.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Draw (Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. América de Cali) as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 28% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 30% — an Expected Value gap of +2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Jaguares de Córdoba FC holds a positive EV Gap of +1.1%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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