RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split - More Markets

$69.1K Vol
Aug 27, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Over 100.0%
Under 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 57.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $69.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (57.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 57¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.1K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score57.5%$5.1K57¢43¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for August 27 at 1:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 57.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 56.5%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score57.5%56.5%-1.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 27, 2026

  • 08:03 PM
    SASaray161
    $33.86

    Sold 33.86 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 07:57 PM
    MAMarquisDeMott
    $13.46

    Bought 13.6 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.99

  • 07:56 PM
    $4.95

    Bought 4.994953 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.99

  • 07:56 PM
    SOsolomillo
    $99.90

    Bought 100.908172 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.99

  • 07:56 PM
    MOMollyParkets
    $131.69

    Sold 133.02 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.99

  • 07:46 PM
    ASasd147
    $100.62

    Bought 100.62 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 07:46 PM
    ASasd147
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1000 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 07:46 PM
    ASasd147
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1000 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 07:46 PM
    ASasd147
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1000 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 07:46 PM
    ASasd147
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1000 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 07:46 PM
    ASasd147
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1000 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 07:46 PM
    ASasd147
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1000 Over for RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5 at 1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

UP1
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$38.09
Volume
$13,042.34
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+13
AS2
asd147
Event PnL
+$3.56
Volume
$7,100.62
Positions
Over
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$433.56
Volume
$5,187.21
Positions
OverUnderUnder+5
AL4
alpheclabs
Event PnL
+$84.84
Volume
$4,838.06
Positions
OverOverOver+1
FL5
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$30.84
Volume
$3,637.86
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+10
JA6
Jan777
Event PnL
+$1,648.21
Volume
$3,214.71
Positions
Over
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$55.17
Volume
$3,201.36
Positions
OverOverOver+5
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$664.30
Volume
$3,067.00
Positions
YesOverHNK Hajduk Split+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 57.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $69.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 57.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 56.5%, a negative EV Gap of -1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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