SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98 - More Markets

$75.8K Vol
Aug 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 54.5%
Over 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98 - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 62% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $75.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (62%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 62¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6.7K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score62.0%$6.7K62¢38¢

Result Rules

More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for August 16 at 7:30 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 62%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 51.3%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -10.7%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score62.0%51.3%-10.7%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 07:57 AM
    MZmzdax5x3355
    $24.00

    Bought 31.16883 SV Darmstadt 98 for Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-1.5) at 0.77

  • 07:48 AM
    ANandrewreid
    $1.00

    Bought 5 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 4.5 at 0.2

  • 07:47 AM
    ANandrewreid
    $1.00

    Bought 2.631577 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5 at 0.38

  • 06:07 AM
    NANaughtyPizza
    $4.62

    Bought 7.577866 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 at 0.61

  • 05:25 AM
    FEfelixroj
    $3.16

    Bought 5.096773 Yes for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 04:37 AM
    XXxxbda
    $3.60

    Bought 6 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 at 0.6

  • 01:12 AM
    GOGodYasuo
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666665 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 at 0.6

Aug 15, 2026

  • 04:59 PM
    LULuckyLoo
    $0.50

    Bought 5 SG Dynamo Dresden for Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-2.5) at 0.1

  • 03:39 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 10 SG Dynamo Dresden for Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-2.5) at 0.1

  • 03:39 PM
    SWswisstony
    $1.36

    Bought 13.6 SG Dynamo Dresden for Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-2.5) at 0.1

  • 03:39 PM
    NOnotsharplol
    $0.64

    Bought 6.4 SG Dynamo Dresden for Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-2.5) at 0.1

  • 03:08 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $11.74

    Bought 19.56 Over for SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

631
0x633e…6089
Event PnL
-$14,030.78
Volume
$22,990.43
Positions
Over
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$2,928.06
Volume
$14,806.35
Positions
OverOverSG Dynamo Dresden+4
SW3
swisstony
Event PnL
+$1,952.74
Volume
$12,797.35
Positions
UnderSV Darmstadt 98No+8
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$959.37
Volume
$10,470.29
Positions
SG Dynamo DresdenSV Darmstadt 98Under+5
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$895.59
Volume
$7,629.28
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+3
US6
us391
Event PnL
+$4,270.50
Volume
$7,006.56
Positions
Under
RN7
RN1
Event PnL
-$1,573.31
Volume
$5,795.85
Positions
OverOverNo+2
548
0x547f…2436
Event PnL
+$938.63
Volume
$5,775.50
Positions
UnderUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98 - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 62% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $75.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 62%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 51.3%, a negative EV Gap of -10.7% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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