US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton

$294.4K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yibing Wu 83.5%
Adam Walton 16.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 9,000%, while US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton sits in third with 7,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $294.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 8.5 (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 9.5 (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 9.5 maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton (7,450%): Sitting in third place with a 7,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Completed Match (5,000%), US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Match O/U 36.5 (5,000%), and US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Game Spread +/-0.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 8.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
2US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 9.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
3US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton7450.0%$320.8K7450¢-7350¢
4Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Match O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Total Sets: O/U 3.55000.0%$305000¢-4900¢
7US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Game Spread +/-0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Total Sets: O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Match O/U 38.55000.0%$2.0K5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Match O/U 40.55000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 Winner2450.0%$312450¢-2350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Adam Walton in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Adam Walton.

This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Yibing Wu.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 08:59 AM
    HAHarrisonC
    $10.40

    Bought 13 Wu for Set Handicap: Walton (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5) at 0.8

  • 08:44 AM
    MWmwsking
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869564 Yibing Wu for US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton at 0.46

  • 08:18 AM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $136.00

    Bought 170 Wu for Set Handicap: Walton (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5) at 0.8

  • 08:07 AM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $11.06

    Bought 14 Wu for Set Handicap: Walton (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5) at 0.79

  • 07:57 AM
    BAbahsperiamobene
    $70.00

    Bought 87.5 Wu for Set Handicap: Walton (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5) at 0.8

  • 07:57 AM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $39.50

    Bought 50 Wu for Set Handicap: Walton (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5) at 0.79

  • 07:48 AM
    FAfastball67
    $201.00

    Bought 1005 Walton for Set Handicap: Walton (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5) at 0.2

  • 07:34 AM
    0X0x8C996043E75D3cCd7A59a7072Ef832AC1A67ebdc-1779774789228
    $11.96

    Bought 26 Yibing Wu for US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton at 0.46

  • 07:01 AM
    SVSvanHelsing
    $4.61

    Bought 10.02 Yibing Wu for US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton at 0.46

  • 06:53 AM
    CLclarey
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869564 Yibing Wu for US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton at 0.46

  • 06:33 AM
    CHcharay12
    $4.70

    Bought 10.21739 Yibing Wu for US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton at 0.46

  • 06:27 AM
    0X0x96D61a3A181c250f89875e1aE0E349c609eF5892-1765363824906
    $9.00

    Bought 16.363635 Adam Walton for US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
NiNo999
Event PnL
+$5,245.68
Volume
$60,968.99
Positions
Adam Walton
AV2
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$5,631.01
Volume
$56,302.73
Positions
Adam Walton
AR3
ArturitoFilito
Event PnL
-$1,999.98
Volume
$22,222.00
Positions
Yibing Wu
ZA4
zagzig123
Event PnL
-$1,811.10
Volume
$18,111.00
Positions
Yibing Wu
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$1,404.08
Volume
$15,387.67
Positions
Yibing Wu
DV6
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$1,497.48
Volume
$14,974.75
Positions
Yibing Wu
FA7
fastball67
Event PnL
+$232.33
Volume
$13,456.64
Positions
Adam WaltonWalton
FE8
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$1,242.69
Volume
$11,033.52
Positions
Adam Walton

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton Set 3 O/U 9.5 at 9,000% and US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton at 7,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $294.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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