Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse

$118.4K Vol
Aug 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Adam Walton 100.0%
Ignacio Buse 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $118.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $153.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%), Completed Match (9,950%), and Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 21.5 (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse9995.0%$153.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner9995.0%$709995¢-9895¢
3Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%$549995¢-9895¢
4Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 8.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Completed Match9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 21.55.0%$7995¢
7Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%$695¢
8Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 22.55.0%$3395¢
9Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$5495¢
10Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 9.55.0%95¢
11Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 23.55.0%$4095¢
12Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Ignacio Buse in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Ignacio Buse.

This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Adam Walton.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:36 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $460.75

    Bought 1151.875 Ignacio Buse for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.4

  • 08:25 PM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Ignacio Buse for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.4

  • 08:25 PM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $5.00

    Bought 8.19672 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.61

  • 08:23 PM
    GUguypol
    $5.00

    Bought 12.5 Ignacio Buse for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.4

  • 08:15 PM
    NAnaeimshp7
    $25.20

    Bought 40 Buse for Set Handicap: Walton (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 08:12 PM
    RYRyancharran47
    $35.00

    Bought 57.377048 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.61

  • 08:07 PM
    NInick10s
    $125.00

    Bought 312.5 Ignacio Buse for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.4

  • 07:59 PM
    JOjoabtorreys2
    $15.00

    Bought 37.5 Ignacio Buse for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.4

  • 07:57 PM
    ZAzaguel
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.61

  • 07:35 PM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.61

  • 07:29 PM
    RPrplt-fb
    $4.86

    Bought 7.967212 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.61

  • 07:22 PM
    ALAlvurdi
    $8.00

    Bought 20 Ignacio Buse for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse at 0.4

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

5F1
0x5F65…1400
Event PnL
+$216.20
Volume
$24,617.31
Positions
Ignacio Buse
5B2
0x5BA6…276b
Event PnL
-$183.10
Volume
$12,212.20
Positions
Adam Walton
TA3
Tantula
Event PnL
-$285.71
Volume
$6,349.21
Positions
Adam Walton
KA4
kahe
Event PnL
+$93.75
Volume
$6,250.00
Positions
Ignacio Buse
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$7.25
Volume
$5,929.60
Positions
Adam WaltonWaltonWalton+1
SU6
sunnyhussain96
Event PnL
-$25.46
Volume
$5,511.00
Positions
Adam Walton
077
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$26.93
Volume
$5,100.09
Positions
Adam Walton
CR8
crocodile993
Event PnL
+$123.35
Volume
$4,933.64
Positions
Ignacio Buse

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner at 9,995% and Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $118.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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