Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti

$106K Vol
Aug 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lorenzo Musetti 68.5%
Aleksandar Vukic 31.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,950% chance of winning. Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,550%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $106K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 (5,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,550¢.
  • Completed Match (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), and Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.57950.0%7950¢-7850¢
2Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.55550.0%$1195550¢-5450¢
3Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%$295000¢-4900¢
6Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.54850.0%$94850¢-4750¢
9Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.54500.0%$5894500¢-4400¢
10Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.54250.0%$174250¢-4150¢
11Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner3850.0%$1643850¢-3750¢
12Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.53800.0%$183800¢-3700¢
13Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
14Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti3150.0%$110.3K3150¢-3050¢
15Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
16Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.51800.0%$5891800¢-1700¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Lorenzo Musetti in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Lorenzo Musetti.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Aleksandar Vukic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 29, 2026

  • 08:05 AM
    JTJT13
    $110.00

    Bought 154.929575 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 07:57 AM
    MIMikeHorak
    $5.00

    Bought 7.042251 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 07:33 AM
    DRdreamland0808
    $22.05

    Bought 31.05 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 07:08 AM
    $4.38

    Bought 6.169013 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:46 AM
    HLhldamico
    $5.46

    Bought 7.690137 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:38 AM
    0X0x99873C5Baaba79EAE554534b3C8FD2ba14991369-1772781021315
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408448 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:35 AM
    NEnemed
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408448 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:35 AM
    $4.15

    Bought 5 Musetti for Set Handicap: Vukic (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5) at 0.83

  • 06:30 AM
    LOlorekeeper51799
    $76.01

    Bought 107.056337 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:18 AM
    0X0x66f68D28Eee434d97B3f464dB4B555867f5C5bF2-1731676588106
    $3.46

    Bought 4.873237 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:13 AM
    SUsuntori
    $18.40

    Sold 63.46 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.29

  • 06:09 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $20.10

    Bought 67 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.3

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GO1
Gourmet1
Event PnL
+$67.24
Volume
$45,571.91
Positions
Aleksandar Vukic
402
4014
Event PnL
+$133.32
Volume
$8,887.99
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
DV3
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$40.95
Volume
$8,191.00
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
ML4
mlin1010
Event PnL
+$29.89
Volume
$6,999.95
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$18.48
Volume
$6,706.72
Positions
Lorenzo MusettiUnder 2.5
BA6
barocco
Event PnL
-$63.78
Volume
$4,252.10
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
077
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$117.55
Volume
$4,176.22
Positions
Aleksandar VukicMusetti
BA8
BaseballBill
Event PnL
+$20.74
Volume
$4,148.83
Positions
Aleksandar Vukic

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti"?

As of the latest update, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,950% win probability, followed by Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 at 5,550% and Completed Match at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $106K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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