
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,950% chance of winning. Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,550%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $106K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 (5,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,550¢.
- Completed Match (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), and Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 7950.0% | — | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 2 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 | 5550.0% | $119 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 3 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | $29 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.5 | 4850.0% | $9 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 9 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4500.0% | $589 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 10 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.5 | 4250.0% | $17 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 11 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner | 3850.0% | $164 | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 12 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 3800.0% | $18 | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 13 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 14 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti | 3150.0% | $110.3K | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 15 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 16 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1800.0% | $589 | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Lorenzo Musetti in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Lorenzo Musetti.
This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Aleksandar Vukic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 29, 2026
- 08:05 AMJTJT13$110.00
Bought 154.929575 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 07:57 AMMIMikeHorak$5.00
Bought 7.042251 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 07:33 AMDRdreamland0808$22.05
Bought 31.05 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 07:08 AM——$4.38
Bought 6.169013 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:46 AMHLhldamico$5.46
Bought 7.690137 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:38 AM0X0x99873C5Baaba79EAE554534b3C8FD2ba14991369-1772781021315$1.00
Bought 1.408448 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:35 AMNEnemed$1.00
Bought 1.408448 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:35 AM——$4.15
Bought 5 Musetti for Set Handicap: Vukic (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5) at 0.83
- 06:30 AMLOlorekeeper51799$76.01
Bought 107.056337 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:18 AM0X0x66f68D28Eee434d97B3f464dB4B555867f5C5bF2-1731676588106$3.46
Bought 4.873237 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:13 AMSUsuntori$18.40
Sold 63.46 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.29
- 06:09 AM0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211$20.10
Bought 67 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.3
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti"?
As of the latest update, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,950% win probability, followed by Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 at 5,550% and Completed Match at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $106K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
