National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul

$77.7K Vol
Aug 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tommy Paul 61.5%
Learner Tien 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,550% chance of winning. National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,850%, while National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 sits in third with 5,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $77.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $149 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 (5,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,850¢.
  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 (5,300%): Sitting in third place with a 5,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,200%), National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,050%), and National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.57550.0%$1497550¢-7450¢
2National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.55850.0%$8585850¢-5750¢
3National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.55300.0%$7555300¢-5200¢
4National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
5National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
8Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 23.54700.0%$94700¢-4600¢
10National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 2.54400.0%$3934400¢-4300¢
11National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
12National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner4050.0%$1.3K4050¢-3950¢
13National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul3850.0%$89.9K3850¢-3750¢
14National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.53550.0%$12.7K3550¢-3450¢
15National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
16National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.52100.0%$12.7K2100¢-2000¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Tommy Paul in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Tommy Paul.

This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Learner Tien.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 7, 2026

  • 08:24 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 5.128204 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.39

  • 08:22 PM
    KOKomo431
    $151.00

    Bought 251.666665 Paul for Set 1 Winner: Tien vs Paul at 0.6

  • 07:49 PM
    $9.71

    Bought 15.661289 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:41 PM
    $98.41

    Bought 158.725805 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:40 PM
    DAdarknight911
    $154.40

    Bought 249.032257 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:37 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 12.820511 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.39

  • 07:30 PM
    $54.13

    Bought 87.30645 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:27 PM
    FPFPBA1
    $2.00

    Sold 5 Under for Tien vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.4

  • 07:26 PM
    JEjesseis97
    $47.10

    Bought 77.216189 Over for Tien vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.61

  • 07:20 PM
    PRprostozero
    $154.38

    Bought 249 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:14 PM
    $47.13

    Bought 87.277776 Over for Tien vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.54

  • 07:10 PM
    ASASDF1268
    $25.00

    Bought 64.102563 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.39

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

D11
0xd104…710b
Event PnL
-$117.49
Volume
$23,497.56
Positions
Tommy Paul
072
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$510.21
Volume
$11,346.60
Positions
Tien
FA3
fastball67
Event PnL
+$0.35
Volume
$9,999.97
Positions
Paul
RI4
riverskew
Event PnL
+$39.89
Volume
$7,978.03
Positions
Learner Tien
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$13.95
Volume
$6,108.11
Positions
Learner TienUnder 2.5
MO6
moneybagyooo
Event PnL
+$22.10
Volume
$4,419.99
Positions
Tommy Paul
K57
k56
Event PnL
-$48.48
Volume
$3,618.78
Positions
Tommy Paul
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$15.76
Volume
$3,152.00
Positions
Tommy Paul

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul"?

As of the latest update, National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,550% win probability, followed by National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 at 5,850% and National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 at 5,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $77.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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