Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

$55.9K Vol
Aug 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Felix Auger-Aliassime 65.5%
Frances Tiafoe 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,600% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 6,100%, while Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 sits in third with 6,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $55.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 (6,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 maintains a 6,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,100¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 (6,000%): Sitting in third place with a 6,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.5 (5,500%), Completed Match (5,000%), and Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.57600.0%7600¢-7500¢
2Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
3Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.56000.0%$206000¢-5900¢
4Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.55500.0%$3405500¢-5400¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.54600.0%$54600¢-4500¢
10Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.54450.0%$3.9K4450¢-4350¢
11Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 Winner3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
12Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Total Sets: O/U 2.53900.0%$503900¢-3800¢
13Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
14Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 10.53850.0%$133850¢-3750¢
15Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime3450.0%$51.5K3450¢-3350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 8:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime.

This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Frances Tiafoe.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FA1
fastball67
Event PnL
-$117.27
Volume
$28,860.22
Positions
Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime
KI2
kingflop
Event PnL
+$86.91
Volume
$17,378.30
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
-$34.09
Volume
$6,818.81
Positions
Felix Auger-Aliassime
BA4
BaseballBill
Event PnL
+$33.16
Volume
$6,630.61
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
NJ5
njcksn
Event PnL
+$29.41
Volume
$5,882.98
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
CO6
comon119
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Felix Auger-Aliassime
K57
k56
Event PnL
+$22.06
Volume
$4,411.76
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
ST8
Stickman22
Event PnL
-$12.50
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
Felix Auger-Aliassime

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,600% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 6,100% and Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 at 6,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $55.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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