
Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $143.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%), Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,995%), and Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 23.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.5 | 9995.0% | $26 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.5 | 9995.0% | $310 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 9995.0% | $5 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 9995.0% | $477 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 7 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 23.5 | 9995.0% | $986 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 8 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 9 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor | 5.0% | $180.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 10 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 5.0% | $191 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 11 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 Winner | 5.0% | $338 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 12 | Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $477 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Tallon Griekspoor in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Tallon Griekspoor.
This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Lorenzo Sonego.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 4, 2026
- 08:32 PMF0f0rt3$10.00
Bought 21.73 Lorenzo Sonego for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.46
- 08:30 PMTNtnotmotnotgwcrf$35.59
Bought 61.37 Griekspoor for Set 1 Winner: Sonego vs Griekspoor at 0.58
- 08:30 PMSASakan1$0.13
Bought 0.22 Tallon Griekspoor for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.58
- 08:30 PM——$3.15
Sold 7.5 Lorenzo Sonego for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.42
- 08:30 PMVAvalue77$5.00
Bought 8.620688 Griekspoor for Set 1 Winner: Sonego vs Griekspoor at 0.58
- 08:30 PM0X0x5B6B22ca9a6F2FcFB4A046C13bd159Eab602Ec86-1776432484638$26.24
Bought 61.023254 Lorenzo Sonego for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.43
- 08:30 PMDAdahwo$1.00
Bought 2.222221 Lorenzo Sonego for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.45
- 08:29 PM——$5.00
Bought 8.771927 Tallon Griekspoor for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.57
- 08:29 PMDAdahwo$1.44
Bought 3.272726 Lorenzo Sonego for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.44
- 08:29 PMEUEulhunter$29.00
Bought 67.44 Lorenzo Sonego for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.43
- 08:28 PM——$98.97
Bought 224.931817 Lorenzo Sonego for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.44
- 08:27 PMDAdahwo$4.39
Bought 7.701753 Tallon Griekspoor for Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor at 0.57
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor"?
As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 9,995% and Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $143.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
