National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima

$258.7K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Ben Shelton 67.5%
Brandon Nakashima 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,500% chance of winning. National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 7,500%, while National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima sits in third with 6,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $258.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 (7,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 maintains a 7,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,500¢.
  • National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima (6,750%): Sitting in third place with a 6,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.5 (6,600%), National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 (6,500%), and National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.5 (6,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
2National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
3National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima6750.0%$260.1K6750¢-6650¢
4National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.56600.0%6600¢-6500¢
5National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.56500.0%6500¢-6400¢
6National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
7National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner6050.0%$796050¢-5950¢
8National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
9National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner5850.0%5850¢-5750¢
10National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.55300.0%$9025300¢-5200¢
11Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.54400.0%$864400¢-4300¢
13National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.54350.0%$424350¢-4250¢
14National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.54000.0%$9284000¢-3900¢
15National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Brandon Nakashima.

This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Ben Shelton.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TE1
TennisLove
Event PnL
-$3,308.06
Volume
$170,728.09
Positions
Ben Shelton
992
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$923.92
Volume
$30,864.93
Positions
Brandon NakashimaShelton
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$851.36
Volume
$30,004.00
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$261.50
Volume
$17,433.00
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
HI5
hi774c
Event PnL
+$154.41
Volume
$15,318.07
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
RI6
riverskew
Event PnL
+$170.39
Volume
$11,359.44
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$135.03
Volume
$9,002.50
Positions
Brandon NakashimaNakashima
SE8
sentrio
Event PnL
+$104.31
Volume
$6,953.83
Positions
Brandon Nakashima

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima"?

As of the latest update, National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,500% win probability, followed by National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 7,500% and National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima at 6,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $258.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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