Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta

$165.8K Vol
Aug 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Andrey Rublev 63.5%
Pablo Carreno Busta 36.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,350% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner follows in second place at 6,150%, while Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $165.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta (6,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $208.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner (6,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner maintains a 6,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,150¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner (5,750%): Sitting in third place with a 5,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,050%), Completed Match (5,000%), and Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta6350.0%$208.1K6350¢-6250¢
2Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner6150.0%6150¢-6050¢
3Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner5750.0%$5735750¢-5650¢
4Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.55050.0%$65050¢-4950¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%$985000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.55000.0%$1955000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.54700.0%$2204700¢-4600¢
14Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
15Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.52300.0%$8352300¢-2200¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Andrey Rublev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:08 AM
    TEtestingstation
    $10.00

    Bought 29.411763 Pablo Carreno Busta for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.34

  • 07:50 AM
    $50.00

    Bought 74.626863 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.67

  • 07:38 AM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.67

  • 07:28 AM
    MWmwsking
    $10.00

    Bought 29.411763 Pablo Carreno Busta for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.34

  • 07:15 AM
    0X0x96D61a3A181c250f89875e1aE0E349c609eF5892-1765363824906
    $3.00

    Bought 4.477609 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.67

  • 06:44 AM
    RARainRain12
    $40.00

    Bought 59.70149 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.67

  • 06:24 AM
    ORoracle91
    $10.00

    Bought 29.411763 Pablo Carreno Busta for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.34

  • 06:20 AM
    LILightSword707
    $45.00

    Bought 67.164178 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.67

  • 05:22 AM
    NONoClu3
    $15.00

    Bought 22.388057 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.67

  • 04:27 AM
    TITimPenis
    $5.94

    Bought 8.865669 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.67

  • 03:25 AM
    ZZzzqq35
    $291.77

    Sold 442.08 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.66

  • 02:58 AM
    4242Edge
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462684 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TE1
TennisLove
Event PnL
-$256.77
Volume
$84,953.36
Positions
Andrey Rublev
2C2
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$74.87
Volume
$14,971.30
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
9F3
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$63.96
Volume
$12,792.99
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
HC4
hcs0x
Event PnL
-$59.98
Volume
$11,999.99
Positions
Andrey Rublev
SE5
sentrio
Event PnL
+$50.37
Volume
$10,493.63
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
AL6
alpheclabs
Event PnL
+$45.56
Volume
$9,112.23
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
KI7
kingflop
Event PnL
+$38.11
Volume
$7,621.08
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$34.93
Volume
$6,988.38
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,350% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner at 6,150% and Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner at 5,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $165.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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