Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

$330.6K Vol
Aug 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Arthur Rinderknech 64.5%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,785% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 follows in second place at 8,650%, while Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 sits in third with 8,635%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $330.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.5 (9,785%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,785¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $107 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 (8,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 maintains a 8,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,650¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 (8,635%): Sitting in third place with a 8,635% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (7,500%), Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (6,750%), and Completed Match (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.59785.0%$1079785¢-9685¢
2Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.58650.0%$1148650¢-8550¢
3Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.58635.0%$4098635¢-8535¢
4Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.57500.0%$837500¢-7400¢
5Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo6750.0%$865.2K6750¢-6650¢
6Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5450.0%$213450¢-350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Arthur Rinderknech.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:07 AM
    TEtestingstation
    $10.00

    Bought 25 Rinderknech for Set Handicap: Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5) at 0.4

  • 07:53 AM
    $50.00

    Bought 128.205127 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.39

  • 07:27 AM
    MWmwsking
    $15.00

    Bought 38.461537 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.39

  • 07:27 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $1.38

    Bought 2.225805 Arthur Rinderknech for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.62

  • 06:46 AM
    LLLLOTTI
    $1.95

    Bought 5 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.39

  • 06:46 AM
    POpopxbt
    $25.00

    Bought 40.322578 Arthur Rinderknech for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.62

  • 06:23 AM
    ORoracle91
    $10.00

    Bought 25.641024 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.39

  • 06:23 AM
    ORoracle91
    $10.00

    Bought 25.641024 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.39

  • 05:43 AM
    0X0xbfD770B7ff0
    $20.00

    Bought 32.258063 Over for Rinderknech vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.62

  • 05:43 AM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Over for Rinderknech vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.62

  • 04:49 AM
    DJDjokodeWish
    $39.00

    Bought 100 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.39

  • 04:26 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $1.38

    Bought 2.225805 Arthur Rinderknech for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.62

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

5F1
0x5F65…1400
Event PnL
-$5,608.81
Volume
$29,261.27
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$2,211.92
Volume
$13,925.33
Positions
Arthur RinderknechRinderknech
5B3
0x5BA6…276b
Event PnL
+$1,750.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Arthur Rinderknech
RN4
RN1
Event PnL
+$1,888.35
Volume
$9,935.49
Positions
Arthur Rinderknech
125
1234162
Event PnL
-$570.99
Volume
$3,855.84
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
AL6
alpheclabs
Event PnL
+$682.50
Volume
$3,500.00
Positions
Arthur Rinderknech
9F7
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$22.56
Volume
$3,223.68
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
K58
k56
Event PnL
-$32.22
Volume
$3,199.64
Positions
Arthur Rinderknech

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,785% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 at 8,650% and Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 at 8,635%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $330.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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