Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli

$50.3K Vol
Aug 28, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tommy Paul 59.5%
Flavio Cobolli 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,650% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 6,650%, while Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli sits in third with 5,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $50.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $26 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 (6,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 6,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,650¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli (5,950%): Sitting in third place with a 5,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,750%), Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner (5,650%), and Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.5 (5,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.56650.0%$266650¢-6550¢
2Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.56650.0%$3006650¢-6550¢
3Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli5950.0%$41.1K5950¢-5850¢
4Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
5Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner5650.0%5650¢-5550¢
6Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.55550.0%$3285550¢-5450¢
7Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
8Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 23.55150.0%$1.1K5150¢-5050¢
9Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 2.54550.0%$7.2K4550¢-4450¢
14Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
15Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.53250.0%$83250¢-3150¢
16Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.52100.0%$82100¢-2000¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Flavio Cobolli.

This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Tommy Paul.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:13 AM
    VOvozduhair
    $19.47

    Bought 34.767856 Over for Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.56

  • 09:03 AM
    ABabyssF
    $9.74

    Bought 23.756096 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:48 AM
    HEhephaistus
    $2.50

    Bought 6.097559 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:48 AM
    SMsmye100
    $5.00

    Bought 12.19512 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:46 AM
    IUIulik
    $72.00

    Bought 175.609755 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:36 AM
    EAeakhmetgaliev
    $25.00

    Bought 60.975608 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:22 AM
    CRcrtweb3
    $19.00

    Bought 46.341462 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:21 AM
    CRcrtweb3
    $29.00

    Bought 70.731706 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:21 AM
    JKJKRJ
    $5.00

    Bought 12.19512 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:14 AM
    YOyotweee
    $6.34

    Bought 8.03 Over for Paul vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.79

  • 08:12 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $85.72

    Sold 214.3 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.4

  • 08:02 AM
    YOyohan75
    $17.53

    Bought 27.82 Over for Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AG1
AGUGava
Event PnL
+$124.72
Volume
$24,917.11
Positions
Tommy Paul
SP2
spiced
Event PnL
+$13.32
Volume
$14,999.97
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
DR3
drex0o
Event PnL
-$62.36
Volume
$6,488.12
Positions
Under 2.5
994
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$44.84
Volume
$4,645.14
Positions
Over 2.5Paul
LA5
LaBagnantediMondello
Event PnL
-$17.50
Volume
$3,500.00
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$14.35
Volume
$2,870.87
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
QU7
quavoo
Event PnL
+$9.07
Volume
$1,814.00
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
RO8
romanh31
Event PnL
-$23.31
Volume
$1,554.31
Positions
Tommy Paul

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,650% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 at 6,650% and Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 5,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $50.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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