Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

$69.5K Vol
Aug 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alex de Minaur 53.5%
Stefanos Tsitsipas 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,150% chance of winning. Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 6,350%, while Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas sits in third with 5,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $69.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $160 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 21.5 (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (5,650%): Sitting in third place with a 5,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,600%), Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,500%), and Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner (5,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.58150.0%$1608150¢-8050¢
2Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 21.56350.0%$4326350¢-6250¢
3Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas5650.0%$67.6K5650¢-5550¢
4Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 9.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
5Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
6Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
7Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 22.55350.0%$1325350¢-5250¢
8Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 Winner5300.0%$905300¢-5200¢
9Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 8.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
10Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 10.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
12Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 23.54650.0%$234650¢-4550¢
13Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 2.54150.0%$1074150¢-4050¢
14Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 10.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
15Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.53150.0%$583150¢-3050¢
16Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.52500.0%$582500¢-2400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas.

This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Alex de Minaur.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 28, 2026

  • 08:03 AM
    ELeliteelite
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.55

  • 07:56 AM
    DIdizhu73
    $49.09

    Sold 90.9 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.54

  • 07:50 AM
    FNFnfjfiwoc2
    $100.00

    Bought 217.391303 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.46

  • 07:39 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.636362 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.55

  • 07:35 AM
    GJgjfdk8ef4gty6
    $100.00

    Bought 217.391303 Stefanos Tsitsipas for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.46

  • 07:35 AM
    $30.51

    Bought 55.472726 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.55

  • 07:30 AM
    0X0x5A46b433Cd62bc82dCE54D5E285Fe87d749B74d0-1771821583455
    $9.65

    Bought 17.54 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.55

  • 07:28 AM
    DIdizhu73
    $40.00

    Bought 72.727271 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.55

  • 07:28 AM
    DIdizhu73
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.55

  • 07:25 AM
    RARandomViolet
    $2.80

    Bought 5.090908 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.55

  • 07:23 AM
    ASAsherDong0210
    $50.00

    Bought 90.909088 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.55

  • 07:23 AM
    $7.70

    Bought 14 Alex de Minaur for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MA1
madkkee
Event PnL
+$59.84
Volume
$11,965.31
Positions
Alex de Minaur
2C2
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$100.19
Volume
$6,679.01
Positions
Alex de Minaur
RI3
riverskew
Event PnL
+$31.10
Volume
$6,220.23
Positions
Alex de Minaur
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$22.54
Volume
$4,509.68
Positions
Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$18.35
Volume
$4,331.86
Positions
Stefanos TsitsipasUnder 2.5Tsitsipas
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$27.55
Volume
$3,440.51
Positions
Stefanos Tsitsipas
QU7
quavoo
Event PnL
+$178.06
Volume
$3,114.00
Positions
Stefanos Tsitsipas
PL8
pleasent242
Event PnL
+$33.04
Volume
$2,202.48
Positions
Alex de Minaur

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas"?

As of the latest update, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,150% win probability, followed by Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 21.5 at 6,350% and Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at 5,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $69.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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