Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti

$45.4K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hamad Medjedovic 64.5%
Marco Trungelliti 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,900% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti follows in second place at 6,450%, while Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 Winner sits in third with 6,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $45.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,900%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,900¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti (6,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti maintains a 6,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,450¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 Winner (6,050%): Sitting in third place with a 6,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 21.5 (5,850%), Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 Winner (5,800%), and Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.57900.0%7900¢-7800¢
2Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti6450.0%$42.7K6450¢-6350¢
3Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 Winner6050.0%$1.5K6050¢-5950¢
4Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 21.55850.0%$275850¢-5750¢
5Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 Winner5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
6Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 9.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 22.54950.0%$874950¢-4850¢
12Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 23.54550.0%$44550¢-4450¢
13Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Total Sets: O/U 2.54150.0%$654150¢-4050¢
14Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set Handicap +/-1.54150.0%$174150¢-4050¢
15Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 10.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
16Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set Handicap +/-1.51900.0%$171900¢-1800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Marco Trungelliti in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 3:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Marco Trungelliti.

This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Hamad Medjedovic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 14, 2026

  • 08:53 AM
    SOsomeweirdguesser
    $50.00

    Bought 73.529409 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68

  • 08:50 AM
    DUdumdum-bets
    $3.88

    Bought 11.42 Marco Trungelliti for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.34

  • 08:46 AM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35294 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68

  • 08:46 AM
    $7.12

    Bought 10.470587 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68

  • 08:46 AM
    $3.45

    Bought 5.073528 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68

  • 08:46 AM
    FOFollower2
    $2.02

    Bought 2.970587 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68

  • 08:46 AM
    FOFollower2
    $4.17

    Bought 6.13235 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68

  • 08:46 AM
    $556.90

    Bought 831.19 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.67

  • 08:46 AM
    $270.07

    Bought 403.089551 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.67

  • 08:24 AM
    KRkrypttest
    $2.50

    Bought 3.731342 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.67

  • 08:07 AM
    0X0x96D61a3A181c250f89875e1aE0E349c609eF5892-1765363824906
    $4.00

    Bought 5.970148 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.67

  • 08:00 AM
    MAmarigliano
    $4.96

    Bought 8.267702 Under 2.5 for Hamad Medjedovic vs. Marco Trungelliti: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FA1
fastball67
Event PnL
+$297.23
Volume
$33,703.95
Positions
Marco TrungellitiTrungellitiTrungelliti
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$3.50
Volume
$12,501.18
Positions
Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovicUnder 2.5
323
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$24.26
Volume
$5,163.03
Positions
Hamad Medjedovic
9B4
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
-$39.98
Volume
$4,443.19
Positions
Hamad Medjedovic
KI5
kingflop
Event PnL
-$17.14
Volume
$3,428.57
Positions
Hamad Medjedovic
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$25.91
Volume
$2,160.54
Positions
Hamad Medjedovic
DV7
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$28.66
Volume
$1,910.92
Positions
Hamad Medjedovic
ST8
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$9.00
Volume
$1,800.00
Positions
Hamad Medjedovic

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,900% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 6,450% and Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 Winner at 6,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $45.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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