Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov

$385.6K Vol
Aug 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hayato Matsuoka 100.0%
Khumoun Sultanov 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov Set Handicap +/-1.5 sits in third with 45%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $385.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $385.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov Set Handicap +/-1.5 (45%): Sitting in third place with a 45% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov Set Handicap +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov9995.0%$385.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$1.4K9995¢-9895¢
3Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov Set Handicap +/-1.545.0%$97845¢55¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hayato Matsuoka and Khumoun Sultanov in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 2:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Khumoun Sultanov.

This market will resolve to 'Khumoun Sultanov' if Khumoun Sultanov advances against Hayato Matsuoka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 15, 2026

  • 08:52 AM
    BYbyouuuuuuu
    $3.38

    Sold 3.38 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:47 AM
    JOJourneyPM
    $40.00

    Sold 40 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:45 AM
    0X0xf93DE2600b3A93fDA7a128F1a30ad0272719fc9B-1766503495210
    $522.79

    Sold 522.79 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:45 AM
    ROrom4yc
    $16.39

    Sold 16.39 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:42 AM
    $224.14

    Sold 224.14 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:37 AM
    $5.55

    Sold 5.55 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:34 AM
    $465.48

    Sold 470.18 Sultanov for Set Handicap: Matsuoka (-1.5) vs Sultanov (+1.5) at 0.99

  • 08:34 AM
    0X0x18aa05527Ba21b3f8E78C9BBf624633DA0cB2287-1770513827492
    $2.94

    Sold 2.94 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:34 AM
    MAmaimaixixi
    $1.69

    Sold 1.69 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:31 AM
    0X0xa0f47cE9ea247A73D3624cf7320189550ce4631B-1762906440194
    $164.01

    Sold 164.01 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:31 AM
    W9w973635341
    $7.84

    Sold 7.84 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

  • 08:30 AM
    WWWwwwwvwwwww
    $144.23

    Sold 144.23 Hayato Matsuoka for Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov at 1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$5.02
Volume
$48,122.52
Positions
Hayato Matsuoka
MM2
MMzz398
Event PnL
-$12,652.10
Volume
$27,944.36
Positions
Khumoun Sultanov
693
0x6982…4945
Event PnL
-$12,231.43
Volume
$25,912.09
Positions
Khumoun Sultanov
ZV4
zvon3
Event PnL
+$9.33
Volume
$21,626.76
Positions
Hayato Matsuoka
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$4,561.75
Volume
$10,362.46
Positions
Khumoun Sultanov
VG6
vgybhu
Event PnL
+$5,828.35
Volume
$8,452.98
Positions
Hayato Matsuoka
HD7
hd777
Event PnL
+$250.72
Volume
$6,204.76
Positions
Hayato Matsuoka
KA8
Kalahanda
Event PnL
-$4,996.98
Volume
$6,024.10
Positions
Khumoun Sultanov

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov"?

As of the latest update, Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 45%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $385.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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