US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta

$302.8K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Jiri Lehecka 97.4%
Pablo Carreno Busta 2.6%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,195% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 9,000%, while US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $302.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta (9,195%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,195¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $288.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,000%), US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-5.5 (8,400%), and US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 Winner (7,500%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta9195.0%$288.0K9195¢-9095¢
2US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
3US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
5US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-5.58400.0%$138400¢-8300¢
6US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 Winner7500.0%7500¢-7400¢
7US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner6895.0%$86895¢-6795¢
8US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.56050.0%$7.6K6050¢-5950¢
9US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 40.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
10US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-2.55050.0%$39.7K5050¢-4950¢
11Completed Match5000.0%$3575000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 38.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
21US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.54400.0%$1444400¢-4300¢
22US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.52700.0%$1002700¢-2600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Pablo Carreno Busta in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Jiri Lehecka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 09:10 AM
    0X0xBaf85F5c7EEb664232339E69b3543a7c403627CF-1781448616653
    $86.00

    Bought 138.709676 Lehecka for Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 09:06 AM
    LELemou01
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 08:49 AM
    $231.20

    Bought 372.903223 Lehecka for Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 08:41 AM
    OVOVOXOS
    $20.00

    Bought 25.641022 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 08:32 AM
    ALAlvurdi
    $39.00

    Bought 50 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 07:47 AM
    IMImMorty
    $9.75

    Bought 12.5 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 07:07 AM
    $2.10

    Bought 2.692304 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 07:04 AM
    0X0x601975Ae00Ed76F514F5e172b2AF17c19E998CEb-1770088454099
    $2.00

    Bought 2.5641 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 06:59 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $2,209.84

    Bought 2869.92 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.77

  • 06:59 AM
    HWhwidelance
    $22.38

    Bought 28.69 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 06:59 AM
    SEsentrio
    $567.84

    Bought 737.46 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.77

  • 06:59 AM
    SEsentrio
    $23.11

    Bought 30.01 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.77

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

111
11vsldfdsgfkjgos
Event PnL
+$2,072.77
Volume
$142,936.72
Positions
Jiri Lehecka
NI2
NiNo999
Event PnL
-$4,977.79
Volume
$39,647.84
Positions
Busta
0B3
0b1
Event PnL
+$1,386.01
Volume
$28,698.23
Positions
Jiri Lehecka
BA4
Bagwell306
Event PnL
+$737.50
Volume
$27,500.00
Positions
Pablo Carreno BustaLehecka
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$549.92
Volume
$27,456.65
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
RN6
RN1
Event PnL
-$279.93
Volume
$25,563.93
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
FA7
fastball67
Event PnL
+$24.01
Volume
$24,280.19
Positions
Pablo Carreno BustaBusta
2C8
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$2,455.92
Volume
$19,647.38
Positions
Lehecka

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,195% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 9,000% and US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $302.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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