Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

$55.3K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 69.5%
Mark Lajal 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,100% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,950%, while Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 5,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $55.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 (5,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,950¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,700%): Sitting in third place with a 5,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 (5,200%), Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 Winner (5,100%), and Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.58100.0%8100¢-8000¢
2Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
3Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
4Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.55200.0%$3055200¢-5100¢
5Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 Winner5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
6Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo5050.0%$80.2K5050¢-4950¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 Winner5000.0%$1925000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
13Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.54300.0%$54300¢-4200¢
14Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
15Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.53100.0%$243100¢-3000¢
16Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.52850.0%$242850¢-2750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Lajal and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Mark Lajal.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 14, 2026

  • 08:56 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $20.40

    Bought 40 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.51

  • 08:53 AM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:53 AM
    $4.50

    Bought 9 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:47 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $3.65

    Bought 5 Lajal for Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Lajal (+1.5) at 0.73

  • 08:46 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $3.65

    Bought 5 Lajal for Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Lajal (+1.5) at 0.73

  • 08:46 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 Lajal for Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Lajal (+1.5) at 0.73

  • 08:43 AM
    FOFollower2
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:43 AM
    $22.47

    Bought 44.94 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0x6e645b730cc75b6C2f0DB73f12Aa0d16f6A2c072-1766177659045
    $3.00

    Bought 6 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:25 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:25 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:24 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DO1
DonaldinhoTrumpito
Event PnL
+$2.86
Volume
$25,000.00
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
8A2
0x8a3a…5025
Event PnL
+$120.01
Volume
$24,000.00
Positions
Mark Lajal
DV3
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$283.91
Volume
$18,927.50
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
SB4
sbimbg
Event PnL
-$225.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
Mark Lajal
2C5
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$54.51
Volume
$10,904.21
Positions
Mark Lajal
CO6
comon119
Event PnL
+$37.51
Volume
$7,500.00
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0X7
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$18.38
Volume
$3,675.18
Positions
Mark Lajal
948
0x94D4…2275
Event PnL
-$7.15
Volume
$2,953.53
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,100% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 at 5,950% and Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 5,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $55.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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