Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo

$63K Vol
Aug 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Rafael Jodar 70.5%
Alejandro Tabilo 29.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,750% chance of winning. Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo follows in second place at 7,050%, while Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner sits in third with 6,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $63K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo (7,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo maintains a 7,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,050¢.
  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner (6,550%): Sitting in third place with a 6,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner (6,300%), Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 (5,700%), and Completed Match (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.57750.0%7750¢-7650¢
2Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo7050.0%$75.4K7050¢-6950¢
3Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner6550.0%6550¢-6450¢
4Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner6300.0%$316300¢-6200¢
5Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.55700.0%$5215700¢-5600¢
6Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.55000.0%$3415000¢-4900¢
10Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
11Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.54350.0%$74350¢-4250¢
12Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.54100.0%$4334100¢-4000¢
13Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
14Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.54050.0%$504050¢-3950¢
15Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.52950.0%$612950¢-2850¢
16Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.51700.0%$71700¢-1600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Alejandro Tabilo in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alejandro Tabilo.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Rafael Jodar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 1, 2026

  • 08:30 PM
    BObonneville
    $5.05

    Bought 12.317072 Over 2.5 for Rafael Jodar vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.41

  • 08:20 PM
    AMamigosdeljuego
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408448 Rafael Jodar for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.71

  • 08:20 PM
    MRMrMoFoMeLLy
    $99.84

    Bought 172.135592 Over for Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.58

  • 08:13 PM
    AAaaronkozinets
    $80.00

    Bought 266.666665 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.3

  • 08:06 PM
    MAMateoThePlug
    $5.00

    Bought 7.042251 Rafael Jodar for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.71

  • 08:03 PM
    $2.92

    Bought 4.112675 Rafael Jodar for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.71

  • 07:56 PM
    0X0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a
    $274.00

    Bought 385.915489 Rafael Jodar for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.71

  • 07:49 PM
    CUCukkoo
    $1.20

    Bought 4 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.3

  • 07:45 PM
    AAaaronkozinets
    $97.50

    Bought 325 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.3

  • 07:43 PM
    QUquavoo
    $19.20

    Bought 64 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.3

  • 07:43 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 17.241378 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.29

  • 07:43 PM
    BObotza123
    $50.87

    Bought 175.43 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.29

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

201
0x2073…4273
Event PnL
+$33.99
Volume
$7,647.42
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
JT2
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
-$38.25
Volume
$7,500.00
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
SI3
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
+$105.94
Volume
$7,062.82
Positions
Rafael Jodar
RI4
riverskew
Event PnL
+$52.91
Volume
$6,972.60
Positions
Rafael Jodar
NE5
NewTeamSosed5
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$4,999.98
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
0E6
0x0eBB…3663
Event PnL
-$21.12
Volume
$4,225.35
Positions
Rafael Jodar
387
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$26.01
Volume
$3,846.62
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$17.53
Volume
$3,168.94
Positions
Rafael JodarUnder 2.5

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo"?

As of the latest update, Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,750% win probability, followed by Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 7,050% and Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner at 6,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $63K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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