US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon

$118.2K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Raphael Collignon 78.1%
Sebastian Gorzny 21.9%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set Handicap +/-1.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 36.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $118.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set Handicap +/-1.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 36.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 36.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Total Sets: O/U 4.5 (5,000%), US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 38.5 (5,000%), and US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 40.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set 3 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5000.0%$2.9K5000¢-4900¢
2US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$285000¢-4900¢
3US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 36.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
4US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Total Sets: O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 38.55000.0%$435000¢-4900¢
6US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 40.55000.0%$115000¢-4900¢
7US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set 3 Winner2500.0%$212500¢-2400¢
13US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Game Spread +/-7.52455.0%$1162455¢-2355¢
14US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set 4 Winner2350.0%2350¢-2250¢
15US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon2185.0%$100.3K2185¢-2085¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and Raphael Collignon in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Raphael Collignon.

This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Sebastian Gorzny.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 09:06 PM
    ROrobertoxau
    $2.73

    Bought 3.174414 Raphael Collignon for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.86

  • 09:05 PM
    SISimpson151
    $5.46

    Bought 6.348835 Raphael Collignon for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.86

  • 09:03 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.162785 Raphael Collignon for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.86

  • 09:03 PM
    REremora-trader
    $2.61

    Bought 3.034878 Raphael Collignon for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.86

  • 09:03 PM
    BRBrimoz
    $1,571.06

    Bought 10473.742665 Sebastian Gorzny for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.15

  • 08:47 PM
    $25.00

    Bought 28.73563 Raphael Collignon for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.87

  • 08:20 PM
    0X0x8A34E9597e450c9f85b56E4a8F212703ab8c92cD-1776046084842
    $30.00

    Bought 34.482753 Raphael Collignon for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.87

  • 08:03 PM
    0X0x48cFB6dB98fEfEACc6A3A030a1865de0b6adC7dF-1764056399219
    $28.00

    Bought 200 Sebastian Gorzny for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.14

  • 07:50 PM
    JUjuanitooo12358
    $2.54

    Sold 5.65 Collignon for Set Handicap: Collignon (-2.5) vs Gorzny (+2.5) at 0.45

  • 07:50 PM
    JUjuanitooo12358
    $8.60

    Sold 10 Raphael Collignon for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.86

  • 07:44 PM
    JIjiffyjoker66888
    $8.70

    Bought 10 Raphael Collignon for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.87

  • 07:33 PM
    MOMobyembre
    $244.69

    Bought 281.25 Raphael Collignon for US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon at 0.87

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ON1
one8tyfive
Event PnL
+$2,280.95
Volume
$11,519.93
Positions
Raphael Collignon
KA2
kapper-betka
Event PnL
-$296.76
Volume
$11,199.98
Positions
Raphael Collignon
BR3
Brimoz
Event PnL
-$41.30
Volume
$10,473.74
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$400.95
Volume
$10,266.29
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
-$10.22
Volume
$8,929.40
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny
AS6
astapzippo
Event PnL
-$92.34
Volume
$8,539.54
Positions
Raphael Collignon
UP7
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$18.74
Volume
$7,282.80
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$30.34
Volume
$6,067.50
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 5,000% and US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 36.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $118.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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