Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain

$56.4K Vol
Aug 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lucas Poullain 100.0%
Michael Geerts 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $56.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%), Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%), and Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.59995.0%$159995¢-9895¢
3Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
4Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 22.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 23.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
6Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain5.0%$119.9K95¢
7Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$795¢
8Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$795¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Lucas Poullain in the Roehampton, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Lucas Poullain.

This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Michael Geerts.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:06 AM
    SHshadowMacMini2
    $2.00

    Bought 4.25 Michael Geerts for Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain at 0.47

  • 09:01 AM
    XMxmars99
    $3.00

    Bought 6.382977 Michael Geerts for Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain at 0.47

  • 08:35 AM
    0X0x64EC879f99b7C903fEA07341Dddc4DbD038B931D-1777110361694
    $40.00

    Bought 74.074073 Lucas Poullain for Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain at 0.54

  • 08:21 AM
    DADanshan11
    $11.59

    Bought 16.56 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 08:19 AM
    YOyotweee
    $7.34

    Bought 10.05 Over for Geerts vs. Poullain: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.73

  • 08:16 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $3.55

    Bought 5 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.71

  • 08:16 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408448 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.71

  • 08:13 AM
    DADanshan11
    $11.59

    Bought 16.56 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 08:11 AM
    HEhephaistus
    $2.50

    Bought 3.521124 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.71

  • 08:11 AM
    DADanshan11
    $5.17

    Bought 7.39 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 08:11 AM
    DADanshan11
    $5.17

    Bought 7.39 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 07:55 AM
    MAmallytbi
    $1.08

    Bought 1.58797 Geerts for Set Handicap: Poullain (-1.5) vs Geerts (+1.5) at 0.68

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
kkookkoo
Event PnL
-$4,003.81
Volume
$11,412.98
Positions
Lucas Poullain
DA2
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
-$1,479.98
Volume
$7,999.99
Positions
Michael Geerts
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$2,196.11
Volume
$5,601.48
Positions
Michael Geerts
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$1.29
Volume
$4,580.46
Positions
Lucas Poullain
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$274.11
Volume
$4,303.47
Positions
Michael Geerts
E96
0xe98c…8792
Event PnL
-$411.94
Volume
$2,273.26
Positions
Lucas Poullain
A07
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$2,217.47
Positions
Michael Geerts
078
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$236.64
Volume
$2,019.88
Positions
Lucas Poullain

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,995% and Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $56.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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