US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato

$56K Vol
Sep 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Vilius Gaubas 65.5%
Marco Cecchinato 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,650% chance of winning. US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 Winner follows in second place at 6,500%, while US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 Winner sits in third with 6,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $56K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato (6,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $55.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 Winner (6,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 Winner maintains a 6,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,500¢.
  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 Winner (6,200%): Sitting in third place with a 6,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,100%), US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Match O/U 21.5 (5,150%), and Completed Match (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato6650.0%$55.7K6650¢-6550¢
2US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 Winner6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
3US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 Winner6200.0%$326200¢-6100¢
4US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 8.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
5US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Match O/U 21.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
6Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set Handicap +/-1.54600.0%$884600¢-4500¢
12US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Match O/U 22.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
13US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Match O/U 23.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
14US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Total Sets: O/U 2.53800.0%$73800¢-3700¢
15US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Game Spread +/-4.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
16US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 9.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢
17US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set Handicap +/-1.51850.0%$881850¢-1750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Marco Cecchinato in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Marco Cecchinato.

This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Vilius Gaubas.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 26, 2026

  • 09:01 AM
    RURuslanbrat8
    $2.00

    Bought 6.451611 Marco Cecchinato for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato at 0.31

  • 09:00 AM
    0X0x1039D34fcb3BD1a83622B7D3C590509cBbDF2914-1762054261082
    $14.37

    Bought 20.53 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato at 0.7

  • 08:57 AM
    0X0xa65c599c826f116B687efd166d77DEB107453Bc1-1775480930386
    $4.00

    Bought 12.9 Marco Cecchinato for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato at 0.31

  • 08:56 AM
    0X0xaE457d6d83362588DD2B8E23B2c8c359212396B9-1770832003765
    $4.25

    Bought 6.74 Under 2.5 for Vilius Gaubas vs. Marco Cecchinato: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.63

  • 08:56 AM
    0X0xaE457d6d83362588DD2B8E23B2c8c359212396B9-1770832003765
    $5.17

    Bought 16.68 Marco Cecchinato for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato at 0.31

  • 08:56 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $8.74

    Bought 13.44 Gaubas for Set 1 Winner: Gaubas vs Cecchinato at 0.65

  • 08:56 AM
    0X0x57b258499f7A4cfC5043ceae57A51f7e6f529Da2-1779737456696
    $115.14

    Bought 371.41774 Marco Cecchinato for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato at 0.31

  • 08:56 AM
    CMCMKK
    $31.20

    Bought 60 Cecchinato for Set Handicap: Gaubas (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5) at 0.52

  • 08:56 AM
    WQwqeewqeadawfawfwa
    $4.70

    Bought 13.44 Cecchinato for Set 1 Winner: Gaubas vs Cecchinato at 0.35

  • 08:48 AM
    EMEmlBrg
    $5.22

    Sold 18 Marco Cecchinato for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato at 0.29

  • 08:44 AM
    SESecuredFutureKFE
    $68.87

    Bought 97 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato at 0.71

  • 08:42 AM
    RURuslanbrat8
    $2.00

    Bought 6.666665 Marco Cecchinato for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato at 0.3

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FA1
fastball67
Event PnL
+$575.48
Volume
$26,820.41
Positions
Marco Cecchinato
MA2
marketmesh
Event PnL
+$965.66
Volume
$11,489.65
Positions
Marco Cecchinato
323
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$818.67
Volume
$9,631.41
Positions
Vilius Gaubas
0X4
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$111.94
Volume
$7,462.68
Positions
Vilius Gaubas
PL5
pleasent242
Event PnL
-$12.50
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Vilius Gaubas
KA6
kapper-betka
Event PnL
-$118.05
Volume
$4,620.00
Positions
Vilius Gaubas
PL7
pltrkr111
Event PnL
-$44.78
Volume
$2,985.07
Positions
Vilius Gaubas
078
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$15.25
Volume
$2,946.25
Positions
Vilius GaubasGaubas

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato"?

As of the latest update, US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,650% win probability, followed by US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 Winner at 6,500% and US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 Winner at 6,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $56K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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