Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp

$125.4K Vol
Aug 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Joao Fonseca 75.1%
Botic van de Zandschulp 24.9%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,200% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp follows in second place at 8,005%, while Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 22.5 sits in third with 7,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $125.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 21.5 (8,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $87 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp (8,005%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp maintains a 8,005% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,005¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 22.5 (7,050%): Sitting in third place with a 7,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 Winner (5,300%), Completed Match (5,000%), and Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 21.58200.0%$878200¢-8100¢
2Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp8005.0%$178.4K8005¢-7905¢
3Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 22.57050.0%$6517050¢-6950¢
4Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 Winner5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%$3.7K4950¢-4850¢
10Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Total Sets: O/U 2.54700.0%$974700¢-4600¢
11Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 23.54700.0%$2944700¢-4600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Botic van de Zandschulp in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Botic van de Zandschulp.

This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Joao Fonseca.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:45 AM
    SEsentinel-x
    $6.56

    Bought 9.24 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

  • 08:45 AM
    DEDesra-Lasiniai
    $1.07

    Bought 1.507041 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

  • 08:44 AM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $5.00

    Bought 16.666665 Botic van de Zandschulp for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.3

  • 08:44 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 14.084506 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

  • 08:44 AM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.07

    Bought 1.507041 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

  • 08:44 AM
    KAKazacugambler39
    $17.00

    Bought 23.943658 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0xA973Ad77a4484a7cA2afb9aF654980d006da8b72-1776076125207
    $3.65

    Bought 5.140844 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

  • 08:44 AM
    F1F1b8
    $1.00

    Bought 1.41 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0x7734a9968eCa086e4E88CBEE68704AC6bF88017D-1766841207074
    $45.01

    Bought 150.033332 Botic van de Zandschulp for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.3

  • 08:44 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 2.8169 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

  • 08:44 AM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.07

    Bought 1.507041 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

  • 08:44 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408448 Joao Fonseca for Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 0.71

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

071
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$157.31
Volume
$21,033.84
Positions
Botic van de ZandschulpZandschulp
MI2
Minizzz
Event PnL
-$677.75
Volume
$17,324.43
Positions
Joao Fonseca
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$334.41
Volume
$14,263.82
Positions
Botic van de ZandschulpFonseca
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$14.83
Volume
$10,989.97
Positions
Joao FonsecaUnder 2.5
ST5
StudentMoney
Event PnL
-$29.94
Volume
$9,999.94
Positions
Joao Fonseca
2F6
0x2Fd7…5590
Event PnL
+$252.98
Volume
$5,828.55
Positions
Joao Fonseca
RN7
RN1
Event PnL
-$437.95
Volume
$5,366.62
Positions
Botic van de Zandschulp
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$25.99
Volume
$5,197.29
Positions
Botic van de Zandschulp

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,200% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp at 8,005% and Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 22.5 at 7,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $125.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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