
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,900% chance of winning. US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 9,000%, while US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 22.5 sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $88.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 21.5 (9,900%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,900¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $21 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 22.5 (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 23.5 (9,000%), Completed Match (5,000%), and US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 21.5 | 9900.0% | $21 | 9900¢ | -9800¢ |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 22.5 | 9000.0% | $16 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 23.5 | 9000.0% | $8 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 5 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Game Spread +/-3.5 | 5000.0% | $100 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov | 3650.0% | $118.1K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1000.0% | $3 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 2 Winner | 5.0% | $3.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Jurij Rodionov in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Jurij Rodionov.
This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 27, 2026
- 09:06 AMBAbastet9$13.36
Bought 19.08 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 09:03 AM0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708$5.00
Bought 9.259258 Under for Fearnley vs. Rodionov: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.54
- 08:52 AMALAlvurdi$15.00
Bought 21.42857 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 08:39 AM0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848$1.00
Bought 1.42857 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 08:21 AMBAbastet9$66.76
Bought 95.37 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 07:55 AMMWmwsking$20.00
Bought 28.571426 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 07:33 AMWQwqeewqeadawfawfwa$3.78
Bought 12.59 Jurij Rodionov for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.3
- 07:12 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.388885 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.72
- 07:12 AMNENerwan$95.35
Bought 132.430553 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.72
- 07:12 AM0X0x82af599ae8a62842da38be6e5d4b14cd5882bddb$1.00
Bought 3.225805 Jurij Rodionov for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.31
- 06:57 AMBEbetfun...$10.23
Bought 33 Jurij Rodionov for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.31
- 06:43 AM0X0xbfD770B7ff0$12.07
Bought 17.242856 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov"?
As of the latest update, US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,900% win probability, followed by US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,000% and US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Match O/U 22.5 at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $88.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
