
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,800% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,350%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $97.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 (5,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,350¢.
- Completed Match (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), and Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 7800.0% | $2 | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 | 5350.0% | $13 | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 3 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4950.0% | $2.4K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.5 | 4600.0% | $632 | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.5 | 4300.0% | $113 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 3600.0% | $17 | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner | 3500.0% | $378 | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 14 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 15 | Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti | 2650.0% | $94.3K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Lorenzo Musetti in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Lorenzo Musetti.
This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Jaime Faria.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 19, 2026
- 09:28 PMDADanshan11$18.80
Bought 39.16 Faria for Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5) at 0.48
- 09:28 PMJWjwocky$3.30
Bought 5 Musetti for Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Musetti at 0.66
- 09:28 PMJWjwocky$3.00
Bought 5.88 Over for Faria vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.51
- 09:27 PMDEdentleightadman$1.01
Bought 2.891665 Over 2.5 for Jaime Faria vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.35
- 09:26 PMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 2.941175 Over 2.5 for Jaime Faria vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.34
- 09:23 PMMIMikiMuster$2.55
Bought 5 Over for Faria vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.51
- 09:23 PMDADapor$1.00
Bought 1.35135 Lorenzo Musetti for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.74
- 09:23 PMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.960783 Over for Faria vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.51
- 09:22 PMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 2.272726 Over for Faria vs. Musetti: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.44
- 09:20 PM——$5.00
Bought 6.756753 Lorenzo Musetti for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.74
- 09:20 PM0X0xAba48855243D9998CE5781C11e21160DafFE3fA6-1783087448963$3.00
Bought 4.054053 Lorenzo Musetti for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.74
- 09:20 PMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 3.703702 Jaime Faria for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.27
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti"?
As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,800% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 at 5,350% and Completed Match at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $97.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
