National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima

$69.3K Vol
Aug 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Brandon Nakashima 68.5%
Luciano Darderi 31.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,100% chance of winning. National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 6,000%, while National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 5,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $69.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $19 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 (6,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 6,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,000¢.
  • National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,550%): Sitting in third place with a 5,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.5 (5,350%), National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,050%), and National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.58100.0%$198100¢-8000¢
2National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.56000.0%$1446000¢-5900¢
3National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.55550.0%$55550¢-5450¢
4National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.55350.0%$1.4K5350¢-5250¢
5National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
8Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.54650.0%$134650¢-4550¢
10National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.54300.0%$1734300¢-4200¢
11National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.54200.0%$3044200¢-4100¢
12National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
13National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner3650.0%$26.9K3650¢-3550¢
14National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.53350.0%$703350¢-3250¢
15National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima3150.0%$42.1K3150¢-3050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Brandon Nakashima.

This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Luciano Darderi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 10, 2026

  • 08:34 PM
    $21.18

    Bought 66.1875 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:31 PM
    SHShaylevi4
    $20.00

    Bought 62.5 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:28 PM
    $24.79

    Bought 77.46875 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:27 PM
    IAIambull
    $47.04

    Bought 147 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:15 PM
    RDRDLedger
    $35.04

    Bought 50.78 Brandon Nakashima for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.69

  • 08:10 PM
    BAbaileysclub
    $42.71

    Bought 133.48 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:07 PM
    0X0x0d0f5E0245A1aa8eEDe1e56f1C88fF948e0Fc3d9-1776865091892
    $15.00

    Bought 46.875 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:01 PM
    JEjenisto93
    $4.87

    Bought 9.938774 Under for Darderi vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.49

  • 08:01 PM
    $48.83

    Bought 116.261903 Over 2.5 for Luciano Darderi vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.42

  • 08:00 PM
    $39.76

    Bought 124.25 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:00 PM
    BLBlessedSunshine888
    $10.77

    Bought 20.71 Over for Darderi vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.52

  • 08:00 PM
    $2.54

    Bought 4.884614 Over for Darderi vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LO1
lobbb1
Event PnL
-$386.18
Volume
$19,486.23
Positions
Nakashima
992
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
-$25.35
Volume
$15,722.13
Positions
DarderiNakashima
ON3
one8tyfive
Event PnL
+$68.78
Volume
$13,756.03
Positions
Luciano Darderi
FA4
fastball67
Event PnL
+$4.39
Volume
$7,351.07
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
KL5
klnkkn
Event PnL
-$27.58
Volume
$5,517.00
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
IG6
IGBGMN
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Luciano Darderi
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$17.87
Volume
$4,652.79
Positions
DarderiUnder 2.5
CO8
comon119
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Brandon Nakashima

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima"?

As of the latest update, National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,100% win probability, followed by National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 at 6,000% and National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 5,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $69.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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