Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna

$180.4K Vol
Aug 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tommaso Compagnucci 100.0%
Juan Manuel La Serna 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,500% chance of winning. Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 7,500%, while Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.5 sits in third with 7,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $180.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (7,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.5 (7,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 7,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,500¢.
  • Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.5 (7,500%): Sitting in third place with a 7,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 23.5 (7,500%), Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna (5,250%), and Completed Match (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.57500.0%$87500¢-7400¢
2Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
3Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
4Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 23.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
5Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna5250.0%$291.6K5250¢-5150¢
6Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.52500.0%$202500¢-2400¢
8Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.52500.0%$202500¢-2400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Compagnucci' if Tommaso Compagnucci advances against Juan Manuel La Serna.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Tommaso Compagnucci.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:11 AM
    0X0xC627432338fc27149B96C152bdF29C4302dd47B2-1781639330257
    $1,100.00

    Bought 2156.862744 Juan Manuel La Serna for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.51

  • 09:11 AM
    $1.07

    Bought 2.098038 Juan Manuel La Serna for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.51

  • 09:11 AM
    SWswisstony
    $5.39

    Bought 11 Juan Manuel La Serna for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.49

  • 09:10 AM
    TEtenet-bot
    $140.00

    Bought 259.259258 Tommaso Compagnucci for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.54

  • 09:10 AM
    $1.07

    Bought 2.229165 Juan Manuel La Serna for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.48

  • 09:10 AM
    SWswisstony
    $4.70

    Bought 10 Juan Manuel La Serna for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.47

  • 09:10 AM
    THthestingsnake
    $31.10

    Bought 69.1 Juan Manuel La Serna for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.45

  • 09:10 AM
    KMKM377
    $17.10

    Bought 30 Tommaso Compagnucci for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.57

  • 09:07 AM
    SASASONBAT
    $147.00

    Bought 262.5 Tommaso Compagnucci for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.56

  • 09:04 AM
    RIriitmo
    $5.50

    Bought 9.649121 Tommaso Compagnucci for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.57

  • 09:04 AM
    $1.07

    Bought 1.877191 Tommaso Compagnucci for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.57

  • 09:04 AM
    RERenati16
    $45.00

    Bought 100 Juan Manuel La Serna for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

5F1
0x5F65…1400
Event PnL
-$837.91
Volume
$41,463.45
Positions
Juan Manuel La Serna
KA2
kamloic
Event PnL
+$7,185.93
Volume
$33,370.74
Positions
Juan Manuel La Serna
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$378.05
Volume
$30,987.20
Positions
Tommaso Compagnucci
KA4
kapper-betka
Event PnL
+$1,386.95
Volume
$25,217.36
Positions
Juan Manuel La Serna
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$12.42
Volume
$21,117.44
Positions
Tommaso Compagnucci
RD6
RDXR
Event PnL
-$883.18
Volume
$11,581.06
Positions
Tommaso Compagnucci
327
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$1.59
Volume
$11,071.18
Positions
Tommaso Compagnucci
DA8
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
+$15.84
Volume
$8,227.35
Positions
Juan Manuel La Serna

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna"?

As of the latest update, Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,500% win probability, followed by Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.5 at 7,500% and Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.5 at 7,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $180.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started