US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud

$53.6K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Casper Ruud 61.0%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 39.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,400% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 6,350%, while US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5 sits in third with 5,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $53.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 (6,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
  • US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (5,950%): Sitting in third place with a 5,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 36.5 (5,350%), US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,050%), and US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 9.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.56400.0%6400¢-6300¢
2US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
3US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.55950.0%$1455950¢-5850¢
4US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 36.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
5US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.55050.0%$1845050¢-4950¢
6US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 9.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 38.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
19US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-5.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
20US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner4150.0%$364150¢-4050¢
21US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 Winner4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
22US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
23US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud3900.0%$51.0K3900¢-3800¢
24US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
25US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 4.52950.0%$2.2K2950¢-2850¢
26US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-2.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Casper Ruud in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Casper Ruud.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 29, 2026

  • 08:12 PM
    HEHevWei
    $4.00

    Bought 6.45161 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x8e9c786CCA6677CCe009ad865f8579833CA2efaB-1772993613414
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 07:14 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.06

    Bought 1.709676 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 07:14 PM
    XIxiaolubambi
    $30.00

    Bought 48.387094 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 06:27 PM
    SESecuredFutureKFE
    $32.94

    Bought 54 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.61

  • 06:25 PM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.61

  • 06:24 PM
    SMsmye100
    $5.00

    Bought 8.19672 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.61

  • 06:23 PM
    $1,096.29

    Bought 2884.973683 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.38

  • 06:23 PM
    FOFollower2
    $9.32

    Bought 23.897434 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.39

  • 06:00 PM
    $2.89

    Bought 4.59 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.63

  • 05:51 PM
    JAJACCKKP
    $13.45

    Sold 21.7 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 05:42 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $3.15

    Bought 5 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RA1
Rafalcaraz
Event PnL
+$400.95
Volume
$20,440.10
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$5.08
Volume
$13,731.82
Positions
Casper Ruud
453
0x45h0…fef7
Event PnL
+$54.61
Volume
$10,919.31
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$30.49
Volume
$9,025.00
Positions
Casper RuudOver 3.5
075
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$11.41
Volume
$6,546.19
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
696
0x696A…0594
Event PnL
-$282.12
Volume
$5,642.60
Positions
Casper Ruud
NM7
NM-P
Event PnL
-$44.39
Volume
$4,406.07
Positions
Casper Ruud
GA8
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$100.24
Volume
$4,024.32
Positions
Casper Ruud

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,400% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 6,350% and US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5 at 5,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $53.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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