Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

$197.9K Vol
Aug 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Felix Auger-Aliassime 77.5%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 22.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,000% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 follows in second place at 5,250%, while Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5 sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $197.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 (8,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5 (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,050%), Completed Match (5,000%), and Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.58000.0%$1.2K8000¢-7900¢
2Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.55250.0%$10.8K5250¢-5150¢
3Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.55150.0%$2055150¢-5050¢
4Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Total Sets: O/U 2.53850.0%$7513850¢-3750¢
13Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner3050.0%$5263050¢-2950¢
14Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 Winner2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
15Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime2350.0%$250.7K2350¢-2250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime.

This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 18, 2026

  • 08:58 PM
    VAVal99977
    $1.26

    Sold 7 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.18

  • 08:58 PM
    VAVal99977
    $12.15

    Sold 15 Felix Auger-Aliassime for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.81

  • 08:56 PM
    VAVal99977
    $6.56

    Bought 8 Felix Auger-Aliassime for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.82

  • 08:55 PM
    VAVal99977
    $1.33

    Bought 7 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.19

  • 08:55 PM
    VAVal99977
    $1.26

    Sold 7 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.18

  • 08:53 PM
    VAVal99977
    $5.74

    Bought 7 Felix Auger-Aliassime for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.82

  • 08:53 PM
    VAVal99977
    $1.33

    Bought 7 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.19

  • 08:48 PM
    RPrplt-fb
    $21.55

    Bought 26.280483 Felix Auger-Aliassime for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.82

  • 08:37 PM
    0X0x82e79f4f417e009B8A64679472a184d7d701c61C-1770060808709
    $2.00

    Bought 2.439022 Felix Auger-Aliassime for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.82

  • 08:19 PM
    MSmscjava
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Auger-Aliassime for Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 08:18 PM
    0X0x207702d39743B9E76595fB2982dccdb300FB8161-1772429680242
    $4.99

    Bought 6.09 Felix Auger-Aliassime for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.82

  • 08:17 PM
    0X0x3cff557f630f920497A3375F7889465529E19460-1779112530836
    $1.00

    Bought 5.263156 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime at 0.19

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

111
11vsldfdsgfkjgos
Event PnL
+$1,250.00
Volume
$50,000.00
Positions
Felix Auger-Aliassime
FR2
fRibrenlc
Event PnL
-$833.33
Volume
$27,954.57
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
773
0x772f…6719
Event PnL
-$268.40
Volume
$17,894.74
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
DV4
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$77.70
Volume
$15,543.00
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
FA5
fastball67
Event PnL
+$167.97
Volume
$11,193.95
Positions
Felix Auger-Aliassime
ZE6
Zenhack
Event PnL
-$55.58
Volume
$11,115.00
Positions
Felix Auger-Aliassime
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$74.17
Volume
$5,572.95
Positions
Felix Auger-AliassimeCerundolo
548
0x54ba…7344
Event PnL
-$80.12
Volume
$5,341.53
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,000% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 5,250% and Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5 at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $197.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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