
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,500% chance of winning. Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 22.5 follows in second place at 7,500%, while Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 23.5 sits in third with 7,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $207.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 21.5 (7,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $401 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 22.5 (7,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 22.5 maintains a 7,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,500¢.
- Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 23.5 (7,500%): Sitting in third place with a 7,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 23.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Completed Match (5,000%), Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 Winner (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 21.5 | 7500.0% | $401 | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 2 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 22.5 | 7500.0% | $447 | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 3 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 23.5 | 7500.0% | $2 | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 4 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | $11 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 Winner | 5000.0% | $200 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $1.0K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche | 2550.0% | $225.6K | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 12 | Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 2500.0% | $1.0K | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Luca Van Assche in the Quebec City, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Luca Van Assche.
This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Benjamin Bonzi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 21, 2026
- 09:18 AM0X0xb0fFD402eFA450104b4574d4bbdCB490Ccb7865C-1739228095976$2.85
Bought 5 Luca Van Assche for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.57
- 09:18 AMFAfastball67$4,312.46
Bought 7700.82 Luca Van Assche for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.56
- 09:18 AMLILilybaeum$26.44
Bought 60.08 Benjamin Bonzi for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.44
- 09:17 AM0X0xb0fFD402eFA450104b4574d4bbdCB490Ccb7865C-1739228095976$2.80
Bought 5 Luca Van Assche for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.56
- 09:17 AMFAfastball67$510.40
Bought 928 Luca Van Assche for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.55
- 08:46 AMMWmwsking$20.00
Bought 43.478259 Benjamin Bonzi for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.46
- 08:36 AM0X0x940e8baD1eE05d7A853d7E3097422d476313E290-1774346467306$10.00
Bought 18.181817 Luca Van Assche for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.55
- 08:27 AMTATahdig$0.96
Sold 1.78 Luca Van Assche for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.54
- 08:27 AMNANapoleonDynamighty08$115.18
Sold 213.3 Luca Van Assche for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.54
- 08:26 AMTATahdig$1.00
Bought 1.785713 Luca Van Assche for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.56
- 08:25 AMNANapoleonDynamighty08$119.45
Bought 213.30357 Luca Van Assche for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche at 0.56
- 07:47 AMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.470587 Bonzi for Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) at 0.68
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche"?
As of the latest update, Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,500% win probability, followed by Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 22.5 at 7,500% and Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 23.5 at 7,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $207.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
