Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs

$79.1K Vol
Aug 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Daniel Merida Aguilar 52.5%
Zizou Bergs 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,500% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,750%, while Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $79.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.5 (5,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,750¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 Winner (5,200%), Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 Winner (5,200%), and Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 22.5 (5,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
2Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.55750.0%$1305750¢-5650¢
3Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs5250.0%$79.3K5250¢-5150¢
4Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 Winner5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
5Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 Winner5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 22.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 23.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
12Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Total Sets: O/U 2.54300.0%$54300¢-4200¢
13Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set Handicap +/-1.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
14Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 9.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
15Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 10.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Zizou Bergs in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Zizou Bergs.

This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0xd3600f212060543436E4f4B1283Aa6F8981a2EAB-1779187666633
    $70.00

    Bought 145.833332 Zizou Bergs for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.48

  • 08:22 AM
    ZIzishuai
    $1.59

    Bought 3 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:10 AM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $2.66

    Bought 5.018865 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.06

    Bought 2 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    $3.10

    Bought 5.849055 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    $3.10

    Bought 5.849055 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    $242.31

    Bought 457.188678 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    FOFollower2
    $1.80

    Bought 3.396225 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:06 AM
    TEtestingstation
    $10.00

    Bought 18.867923 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 07:46 AM
    FOFollower2
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 07:46 AM
    $54.80

    Bought 103.396225 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 07:46 AM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KI1
kingflop
Event PnL
+$138.42
Volume
$27,678.40
Positions
Zizou Bergs
DO2
DonaldinhoTrumpito
Event PnL
+$13.05
Volume
$24,999.97
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
SB3
sbimbg
Event PnL
+$24.35
Volume
$14,999.98
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
074
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$234.76
Volume
$14,932.37
Positions
Zizou Bergs
0C5
0x0CdF…6344
Event PnL
-$20.83
Volume
$4,166.67
Positions
Zizou Bergs
NE6
NewTeamSosed
Event PnL
-$60.00
Volume
$3,291.92
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
JT7
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
-$9.50
Volume
$1,900.00
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
A08
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
-$7.73
Volume
$1,546.00
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,500% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.5 at 5,750% and Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $79.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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