Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood Magpies

Aug 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hawthorn Hawks 50.5%
Collingwood Magpies 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood Magpies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Hawthorn Hawks is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Collingwood Magpies follows in second place at 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Hawthorn Hawks (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Hawthorn Hawks is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Collingwood Magpies (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Collingwood Magpies maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Hawthorn Hawks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Collingwood Magpies5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the AFL match between Hawthorn Hawks and Collingwood Magpies, scheduled for August 15 at 5:40AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Collingwood Magpies" if Collingwood Magpies is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood Magpies"?

As of the latest update, Hawthorn Hawks leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Collingwood Magpies at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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