#2 Spotify song this week? (August 14)

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “#2 Spotify song this week? (August 14)”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,400% chance of winning. Petal - Ariana Grande follows in second place at 4,350%, while Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj sits in third with 4,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $8, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande (4,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Petal - Ariana Grande (4,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Petal - Ariana Grande maintains a 4,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,350¢.
• Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj (4,350%): Sitting in third place with a 4,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes Earrings - Malcolm Todd (4,350%), Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy (1,800%), and Billie Jean - Michael Jackson (1,750%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like SWIM - BTS are still attracting notable interest.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled August 14. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled August 14 by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.