Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith

$371.7K Vol
Aug 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Daria Kasatkina 100.0%
Alana Smith 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $371.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $355.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%), Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%), and Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith9995.0%$355.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 2 Winner9995.0%$1.7K9995¢-9895¢
3Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.59995.0%$99995¢-9895¢
4Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 1 O/U 8.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 2 O/U 8.59995.0%$8239995¢-9895¢
6Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Match O/U 21.59995.0%$2.8K9995¢-9895¢
7Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 1 O/U 9.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
8Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Match O/U 22.59995.0%$2.6K9995¢-9895¢
9Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 2 O/U 9.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
10Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Match O/U 23.59995.0%$1.7K9995¢-9895¢
11Completed Match9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
12Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 1 Winner5.0%$5.7K95¢
13Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$77295¢
14Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 1 O/U 10.55.0%95¢
15Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Alana Smith in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 1:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Alana Smith.

This market will resolve to 'Alana Smith' if Alana Smith advances against Daria Kasatkina.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 26, 2026

  • 08:07 PM
    PRpredictability
    $4.50

    Bought 5 Daria Kasatkina for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.9

  • 08:07 PM
    WEwesedr3
    $5.00

    Bought 45.454544 Alana Smith for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.11

  • 08:07 PM
    CDcdicicco-bot2
    $10.06

    Sold 11.3 Daria Kasatkina for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.89

  • 08:07 PM
    TATawfiqTrade
    $2.00

    Bought 18.181817 Alana Smith for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.11

  • 08:07 PM
    CDcdicicco-bot2
    $89.00

    Sold 100 Daria Kasatkina for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.89

  • 08:07 PM
    CDcdicicco-bot2
    $100.17

    Bought 111.30455 Daria Kasatkina for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.9

  • 08:07 PM
    PRpredictability
    $4.45

    Bought 5 Daria Kasatkina for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.89

  • 08:07 PM
    MSmscjava
    $31.96

    Sold 36.32 Daria Kasatkina for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.88

  • 08:07 PM
    THthestingsnake
    $11.44

    Sold 95.33 Alana Smith for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.12

  • 08:07 PM
    QUQuanttennis
    $3.34

    Bought 3.752807 Daria Kasatkina for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.89

  • 08:07 PM
    THthestingsnake
    $26.70

    Bought 30 Daria Kasatkina for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.89

  • 08:06 PM
    PRpredictability
    $4.35

    Bought 5 Daria Kasatkina for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith at 0.87

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$12,511.26
Volume
$44,719.82
Positions
Daria KasatkinaSmith
TH2
THEBIGBETS
Event PnL
-$9,981.72
Volume
$36,528.95
Positions
Alana Smith
323
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$32.35
Volume
$17,224.38
Positions
Alana Smith
SU4
suntori
Event PnL
-$2,287.26
Volume
$16,031.45
Positions
Alana Smith
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$12,099.29
Volume
$12,149.58
Positions
Daria Kasatkina
276
0x27c5…3028
Event PnL
+$5,308.20
Volume
$11,809.09
Positions
Daria Kasatkina
4F7
0x4f2
Event PnL
-$4,813.26
Volume
$9,165.96
Positions
Alana Smith
TH8
ThePraetorian
Event PnL
+$3,439.46
Volume
$9,063.11
Positions
Daria Kasatkina

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith"?

As of the latest update, Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Set 2 Winner at 9,995% and Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $371.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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