Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics

$138.6K Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Washington Mystics 67.5%
Seattle Storm 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 159.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,950% chance of winning. O/U 161.5 follows in second place at 6,550%, while O/U 160.5 sits in third with 6,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $138.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 159.5 (6,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 159.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 161.5 (6,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 161.5 maintains a 6,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,550¢.
  • O/U 160.5 (6,500%): Sitting in third place with a 6,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 160.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 162.5 (6,050%), Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics (5,250%), and Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 159.56950.0%$6.8K6950¢-6850¢
2O/U 161.56550.0%$14.4K6550¢-6450¢
3O/U 160.56500.0%$1.1K6500¢-6400¢
4O/U 162.56050.0%$5.7K6050¢-5950¢
5Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics5250.0%$85.1K5250¢-5150¢
6Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.55050.0%$55050¢-4950¢
7Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Shakira Austin: Points O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Shakira Austin: Points O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
16Awa Fam: Points O/U 11.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
17Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.54900.0%$1064900¢-4800¢
18Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.54900.0%$374900¢-4800¢
19Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.54900.0%$94900¢-4800¢
20Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
21Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
22Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
23Spread -3.53750.0%$7.9K3750¢-3650¢
24Spread -4.53350.0%$10.2K3350¢-3250¢
25Spread -5.53100.0%$8.0K3100¢-3000¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET:

If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".

If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 12, 2026

  • 07:58 AM
    COCoocooCal
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 at 0.5

  • 07:51 AM
    0X0xD9ae604B0cC3800A9E0f5A2f4B9755281bC95310-1780434400156
    $14.98

    Bought 30.58 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 at 0.49

  • 07:39 AM
    0X0x688df8e9F359Dc770f43aAa8f612F832F2B51117-1746567015912
    $1.00

    Bought 1.85185 Yes for Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.5 at 0.54

  • 07:38 AM
    0X0x688df8e9F359Dc770f43aAa8f612F832F2B51117-1746567015912
    $1.70

    Bought 3.148147 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5 at 0.54

  • 06:46 AM
    SPSperas
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Washington Mystics for Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 06:41 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $3.00

    Bought 6.25 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 at 0.48

  • 06:41 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $3.00

    Bought 6.666665 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5 at 0.45

  • 06:41 AM
    BABagwall
    $1.09

    Bought 2.43 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5 at 0.45

  • 06:41 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5873 Washington Mystics for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.63

  • 05:37 AM
    ITItsMrRex
    $1.00

    Bought 2.631577 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.38

  • 05:25 AM
    0X0x8a11f53900558381Bf4cF1E3b8D5A8269E6B9282-1775508104506
    $9.69

    Bought 15.38 Washington Mystics for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.63

  • 05:13 AM
    TNtntdynamite
    $3.60

    Bought 5.714283 Washington Mystics for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

IC1
ic4cream
Event PnL
+$94.95
Volume
$3,672.00
Positions
Washington Mystics
BI2
BillBenter2026
Event PnL
-$147.77
Volume
$3,630.96
Positions
Seattle Storm
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$98.30
Volume
$3,137.43
Positions
Washington Mystics
AN4
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$81.16
Volume
$2,273.98
Positions
Washington Mystics
GA5
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Seattle Storm
AM6
amen888
Event PnL
-$21.74
Volume
$998.98
Positions
Seattle Storm
DE7
dex57
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$800.84
Positions
Seattle Storm
AL8
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$16.67
Volume
$663.98
Positions
Seattle Storm

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics"?

As of the latest update, O/U 159.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,950% win probability, followed by O/U 161.5 at 6,550% and O/U 160.5 at 6,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $138.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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