
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 5,050%, while Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $218.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $20 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
- Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 5050.0% | $20 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | $20 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 2 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".
If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 2, 2026
- 08:22 PMVOVokuey3$1.19
Bought 2.125 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.56
- 08:22 PMVOVokuey3$2.96
Bought 6.297871 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.47
- 08:22 PMEFEfstarDeluxe$272.34
Sold 618.95 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.44
- 08:17 PMBEBeatYou6$1.00
Bought 2.5 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.4
- 08:12 PM0X0xa5272745BDAFa0dA2064e67dbAA9651ca6d44DF8-1774436816469$1.12
Bought 2 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.56
- 08:10 PM0X0x6796DaF54Ad13BA26FaeEFc5E0B0889AAF76453f-1770553515927$4.00
Bought 10 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.4
- 08:09 PM——$3.49
Bought 6.584904 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5) at 0.53
- 08:09 PMEFEfstarDeluxe$290.91
Bought 618.957445 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.47
- 08:02 PMSAsappireflames000$4.00
Bought 6.557376 Seattle Storm for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5) at 0.61
- 08:01 PM——$100.50
Bought 179.464284 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.56
- 08:00 PMGNgnuisnot$5.00
Bought 10 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5 at 0.5
- 07:45 PMMOmooseborzoi$9.67
Bought 24.17 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.4
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury"?
As of the latest update, Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 at 5,050% and Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $218.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
